Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Growth Mindset | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elevated Causeway | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Purchase | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Union Tap | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Surrender | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Love Cara | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Lister | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Thank You Jon | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deputy Connect | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Duke of Gloucester | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Masterwork | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Face Abarrio | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Opportunity Set | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Causes Trouble | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kunshan Bridge | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Kingdom | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | One Whirlwind Ride | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Bobby the Tank | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Burn Jakey Burn | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Kant Beat the Rock | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Styner | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Bobby G | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Wild Banker | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Dontbelate | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cool Quartet | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lord Gatling | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Achilles Heel | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hang Tight | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nikitis | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Curlin’s Girl | 1.40 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wynning Touch | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Extra Dirty | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Very Practical | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whocouldaskformo | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kathynmarissa | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Man Matty | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Icy Flavor | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ten Cent Town | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forward Motion | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Settle’s Dream | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Kraft | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Signal Corps | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prince of Truth | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blu Grotto | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Amani’s Eagle | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Regality | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Norgay | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Union Lights | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Salute to America | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cheeky Tico | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | M B’s Munning | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grandpa’s Kid | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Blu Grotto | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Prince of Joy | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Truebelieve | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Movie Moxy | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Hot Fudge | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Willemina | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cairo Sugar | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Movie Moxy | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mosienko | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Evidencias (BRZ) | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Handle On You | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Speights Dance | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Snarky | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Troubled Luck | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Vino | 1.60 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zhen Lou | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Five to Two | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flight Control | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | H M S Victory | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Photo Finish | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.