Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 1, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Make It Snow 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Side by Side 3.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Sultry Kitten 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Monique 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Cute Khloe 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Llorona 1.80 6.3 12-1
1 1 Dancing Mo 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Safa 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Miss Miche Lada 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Quick Kate 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Easter Coming Back 50.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Peppertini 12.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Lanesra 10.00 6 11-1
4 4 Wild Ruler 15.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Someone Like You 4.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Candy Kendall 12.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Fiamina 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Beau Soleil 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Borntostaythirsty 5.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Misty Muppet 1.80 4 8-1
5 5 Cocktail Cutie 5.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Back On Track 8.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Unified A. P. 2.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Girl of My Dreams 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Glo Glo 2.50 1.7 3-1
10 10 Blissterinthesun 6.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Spirit Rules 12.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 We’ll Do It Live 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Stormy Gal 30.00 5 9-1
9 9 Gerwig 15.00 5.6 10-1
6 6 One Summer Day 12.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Hot Hot Hot 5.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Medoro 5.00 8.6 16-1
11 11 Capo Sorella 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Ellie Moore (IRE) 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Winning Big 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Zombo Bombo 12.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Thirsty Lov 2.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Grazen Boy 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Just Step On It 3.50 5.1 10-1
6 6 Sunset Storm 2.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Naukanauka 15.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Renniegade Bros 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Stay and Scam 4.00 1 2-1
9 8 Teen Drama 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Organic 3.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Gem Mine 6.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Hayley Levade 5.00 6.1 12-1
10 9 Real Fire 15.00 6.6 13-1
6 6 Red Diamond 8.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Denim in Gold 12.00 7.2 14-1
12 10 Bye Bye Miss Pie 6.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Ready Jet Go 15.00 7.5 14-1
11 98 Stressed 0.00 SCRATCH
8 98 Paleo’s Princess 0.00 SCRATCH
13 11 Arinniti (FR) 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Violet Storm 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 De Joria 3.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 Midnight Silence 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Zzyzx 5.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Vulin 6.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Miss Kaline 2.50 7.6 14-1
2 2 Ila Veiw Too 15.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Ropers N Wranglers 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kiss for Lulu 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Gantry 12.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Kitzkaty 3.50 1.6 3-1
12 11 Stolen Treasure 5.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 High King 4.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Light Dragoon 5.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Cody Boy 20.00 5 9-1
7 7 Drive for Show 6.00 5 9-1
11 10 Fleet Brotato 15.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Takes Three 12.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Whiskey Rye 15.00 SCRATCH
10 98 Puddin Head Jones 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.