Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 1, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Cabochon Treasure 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Sunset War 15.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 C C’s Legacy 6.00 4 8-1
9 9 Friend’s Do Care 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Roll On Out 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Directional 5.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Bordeaux Red 3.50 6.8 13-1
3 3 Wicked Tough 8.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Big Russss 20.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 D W Strong 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bella’s Gatsby 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Bello Creedo 6.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Itwasthisbig 5.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Zultan 10.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Oxxon 12.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Thunder Road 3.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Joey’s Lightening 10.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Mesabi 8.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Major Deal 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tensas Lu Lu 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Luyv 2.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Tarkington Girl 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Crimson Glory 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Secret Guitar 4.50 4.5 9-1
7 7 Roxie’s Image 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 Rememberin Ronald 6.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Mywarriorsprincess 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Heza Pickle 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 J C’s in Town 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Saber Storm 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Mind On My Money 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Now Now Man 12.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Sarah’s Vision 4.50 7.1 13-1
6 6 Joeboy 15.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Customize My Quest 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Runtoday 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Davidic Line 2.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Jolly Tommy 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Once Upon a Dream 8.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Golden Quality 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Paynt Battle 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 I Will Stand 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Doctor Leo 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Zoey’s Hippie 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Etnico 2.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Captain Cool 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Aux Arcs 12.00 3 6-1
2 2 Brazen Bull 3.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Macho Forty Five 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Mayfield Strong 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Zipping Molly 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Payton’s Indian 8.00 2 4-1
7 7 Gotteminabind 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Little Z 15.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Reina Aces 4.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 Sweet Stormy Elle 15.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Cat B Cause 4.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Julio Choice 6.00 7 13-1
9 9 Who Dat Ginger 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Frosty View 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Caught Off Guard 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Magical Mark 2.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Ghostly Time 15.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Otra Cosa 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Runlikecarl 4.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Bobby Boy 10.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 C D’s Wild Fire 15.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Flat Out Runner 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Dr. Snyder 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Moon Time 3.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Wildcats’s Meow 12.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Lisa’s Guy 5.00 5 9-1
4 4 Kilo Key 15.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Mr. Numero Uno 6.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Call Me Firey 10.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Wauchula 20.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 R and R Star 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.