Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 1, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Emilyhasherturn 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Country Belle 5.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Miss Nimbus 4.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Flash It Wide Open 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Dark Skyer 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Eve Eve 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Costa Lady 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Lexi’s Fury 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Almost Dialed Out 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Be Bo 3.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 She’s My Priority 8.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Khozy Tap 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 Purrfect Moon 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Jessica Blah Blah 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Secret Melody 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Highly Wicked 5.00 1 2-1
11 11 For Harper 4.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 I Bear Arms 10.00 3 6-1
6 6 Strawberry Sundae 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Sixth Anniversary 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Mi Lia 20.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Miss Kennedy 20.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Lovers Never Say 20.00 6.3 12-1
15 15 Our Little Girl 20.00 6.5 12-1
16 16 Guitar Woman 12.00 8 15-1
5 5 Darling Joanna 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Money Well Spent 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Birdie Call 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Ms. Cajun Queen 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Louisiana Liberty 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 She Told You So 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 A Runnin Afleet 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Agami 3.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Why Wait 12.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Mrs. Necaise 12.00 4 8-1
8 8 Guanajuato 3.50 4 8-1
7 7 Crypto Brave 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Super Et 8.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Hot Patootie 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Copper Moon 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mo Saturdays 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Hogslayers R I P 6.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Dazzlemesilver 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Amanwalksintoabar 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Z Z’s Prince 12.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Great Runner 20.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Cash Fever 6.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Brilliant Spin 20.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Papa Jojo 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Levee Was Dry 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Sunny Sassicaia 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Wardy 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Yo Daddy 3.50 1.3 3-1
3 3 Purple Octopus 3.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Dream Time 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Parking Lot 3.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Dynamic Sun 5.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Sixteen Degrees 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Malthael 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Seductive U S A 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Grey Streak 5.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Soul Coaxing 15.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 He’s Got This 10.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Rightandjust 12.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Tide of the Sea 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Telephone Talker 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Sonic Speed 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Power Through 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Of the Moment 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Shawn’s Solving 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Vero Campione 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Punchie 4.00 5.6 10-1
3 3 Ondatrackpimpernel 10.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Samurai’s Grandson 10.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Lincoln Production 5.00 5.6 11-1
11 11 Red Idol 12.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Mine Your Biz 20.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 Iron Fortune 15.00 9.2 17-1
8 8 Drewnanimous 20.00 10.5 20-1
7 7 Queenie’s Leroy 15.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.