Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 1, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Parallel 10.00 1 2-1
8 8 Cleopatra’s Nile 1.80 1.4 3-1
1 1 Run for Home 2.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Miss Cassidy 15.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Fontina 30.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Vino for the Queen 30.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Contrabbanda 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Lets Go Koko 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Fantasy Performer 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Filigree 0 0-1
1 1 Dream Knight 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Fort Attitude 3.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Filigree 4.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Apocalypso 1.60 3.3 6-1
7 7 Astral Weeks 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Federal Exchange 30.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Nature Boy 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lucky Peridot 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Hay Hay Paula 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Nelida 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Boston Princess 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Prettykeen 12.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Luck in the Dusk 12.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Kittenzen 30.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Zosterop 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gotta Like Him 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Peach Nectar 2.50 2.9 6-1
4 4 Villegas Swing 3.50 4 8-1
1 1 Joyful Surprise 20.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Tejota 4.50 5.8 11-1
3 3 Acamar 10.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Morethanicanhandle 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Platinum Rocker 10.00 1 2-1
8 8 Party Shaker 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Diva Ballerina 12.00 3 6-1
6 6 I Love Venezuela 8.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Umbral 6.00 3.2 6-1
11 11 My Sweetheart Dani 30.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Poppa Chippy 15.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 No Fake 5.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 In American 20.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Maelstrom Spirit 30.00 5.6 10-1
12 12 House of Melody 4.00 7 13-1
10 10 Inablink 20.00 9.6 18-1
13 13 Anna After Midnite 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Pure Speight 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Here Comes Bullet 3.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Sarawat 5.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Morgan Point 4.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Boldness 3.00 1.9 3-1
5 5 Lee Ann’s Warrior 30.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Chapalu 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Full Disclosure 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Panther Island 2.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Uncle B 3.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Extendo 5.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 No Name Dude 20.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 The Distractor 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Inspired Mischief 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Destin’s Mission 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Zarak (CHI) 15.00 1 2-1
9 9 Yes I Am Free 2.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 Axthelm 6.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Bad Beat Brian 2.00 3 6-1
3 3 Mamba On Three 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 No Nay Hudson (IRE) 10.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Avant Glory 30.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Rockin Roller 12.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Xy Speed 30.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Mounsieur Coco 15.00 8.2 15-1
2 2 Souzak (FR) 20.00 10.7 20-1
12 12 Crispy Cat (GB) 15.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 R Awesome Sauce 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Nothing But Pumps 3.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Dream Trap 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Gratia 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Krabi 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Alhaan 30.00 6 11-1
4 4 La Dame de Fer 30.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Calming Sea 2.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.