Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 1, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lake Shore Drive 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Smart Coverage 3.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Anarchy 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Executive Chairman 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Wood Be Wild 12.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Executive Sight 10.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Highland Society 20.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Tourist’s Dream 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Twixter 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Bill Needle 12.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Groom Lake 2.50 4.9 9-1
8 8 Coach Abernathy 3.50 5.1 10-1
4 4 Glenholme 15.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Chicago Freddy 15.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Good Soldier 20.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Social Justice 8.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Dawson Silver 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Executive Effect 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Gav’s Dream Girl 12.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Smiles for David 3.50 3.2 6-1
8 8 Krypto Gains 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Telltale 2.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 Hot Omelet 6.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Turf and Surf 15.00 7 13-1
3 3 I’m Exceptional 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Silent Fortune 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Very Debonaire 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Adelaide Court 12.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Yorkville 6.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Benlion 4.00 7.7 15-1
10 10 Passthepuddinpleaz 20.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Snookered 20.00 9.4 18-1
4 4 Butwaitthere’smore 20.00 9.5 18-1
8 8 Spanish Serenade 8.00 9.9 19-1
7 7 River of Babylon 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Napa Spirit (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Jamiesta 6.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Ghoul (BRZ) 3.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Rockstar Ro 3.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Forester’s Turn 8.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Big Time Louie 10.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Wenjack 20.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Big Investment 12.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Exceed 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Might Bee Speedy 10.00 1 2-1
11 11 Sea to Air 4.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Spanish Prince 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Boxer Brief 3.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Serenade At Sea 6.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Reload Bullet 12.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Hardware Gap 10.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Gendragon 8.00 9.2 17-1
6 6 Kodiak Mamba (IRE) 20.00 9.5 18-1
4 4 Confusing 20.00 10.4 20-1
8 8 Super Headline 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Trizzel Trazzel 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Muskoka Summer 6.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Very Savvy 3.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Swirling Dancer 4.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Chrome’s Angel 10.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Alberta Be Mine 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Stole the Ring 15.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Absolute Jewel 20.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Manitoulin Island 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Be On Notice 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Computer Hacker 4.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Needs Fulfilled 10.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Eat Food Everyday 20.00 5 9-1
7 7 Visitor’s Welcome 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Scat Factor 12.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Haahee 6.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Delirio 20.00 8.8 17-1
2 2 True Shot 20.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 Highland Rocky 15.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 Hurricane Deshambo 20.00 9.6 18-1
12 12 Sweet Super Speedy 10.00 9.8 18-1
13 13 Screen Legend 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.