Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 2, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Big Prankster 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 Liberty Central 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Hair On Fire 8.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Perno 8.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Uptomykneesinit 6.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Frankie R. 30.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Doc Sullivan 10.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Solo Empire 12.00 6.6 13-1
4 4 Silver Pocket 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ignite the Light 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Cool Operator 5.00 7 13-1
5 5 Hop Sing 4.50 7 13-1
7 7 Speed Control 8.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 El Capi 6.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Conquest Warrior 4.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 King Mendelssohn 6.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Vino Barbarino 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Guntown 0 0-1
3 3 Trafalgar 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Winit 2.50 1.3 3-1
8 8 Set Sail 4.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 No Burn 6.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Guntown 20.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Bourbon Calling 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Synthesis 12.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Gilded Age 12.00 6 11-1
9 9 Montauk Point 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 King Freud 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 In a Minute 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Drinking Solo 3.50 5.6 11-1
4 4 Scoop the Pot 10.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Blue Marble 10.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Morq 12.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Jeffersons Ocean 20.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Neptune Beach 5.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Seba M 4.50 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 9 Kant Beat the Rock 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Brooklyn Diamonds 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 American Law 4.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Mandatory 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Cloud Forest 8.00 2.9 6-1
4 3 Stjames 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 1 Aula 15.00 5 9-1
3 2 Screw Loose 20.00 7.4 14-1
9 10 Big Venezuela 15.00 SCRATCH
10 11 Vodka Mardini 8.00 SCRATCH
1 4 Kingdom 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Power Seeker 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Ocean’s Reserve 5.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Overstep 2.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Tetsu 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Bad to the Bones 12.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Dark Vector 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Allaboutthemoney 20.00 3.4 7-1
6 6 Rocco Strong 5.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Fenwick 15.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Luni Sima 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Demoiselle S.) – Demoiselle S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Life Talk 1.60 1 2-1
7 7 Shimmering Allure 3.50 2.5 5-1
9 9 Caldwell Luvs Gold 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Cozee Rags 30.00 3 6-1
5 5 Vino Rouge 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Dolomite 10.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Ringy Dingy 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Most of All 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Caress 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Go For Wand S.) – Go For Wand S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tizzy in the Sky 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Dr B 4.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Good Sam 2.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Gerrymander 2.00 2 4-1
3 3 Venti Valentine 12.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Know It All Audrey 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Saddle Up Jessie 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Remsen S.) – Remsen S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dornoch 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Moonlight 4.50 1.8 3-1
9 9 Copper Tax 10.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Where’s Chris 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Domestic Product 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Billal 12.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Private Desire 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Drum Roll Please 10.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 Le Dom Bro 50.00 8.8 17-1
7 7 Sierra Leone 4.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Cigar Mile H.) – Cigar Mile H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Everso Mischievous 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 Accretive 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Senor Buscador 3.50 2.9 6-1
4 4 Cascais 20.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Dr Ardito 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Coastal Mission 12.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 Hoist the Gold 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Offaly Cool 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Three Technique 8.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Castle Chaos 30.00 7.5 14-1
12 12 Pipeline 15.00 8 15-1
6 6 High Oak 20.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.