Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 2, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Margot’s Boy 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Kerry Gold 2.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Andy Can U Hear Me 4.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Talklessworkmore 5.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Wine and Whisky 5.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Mystic Flyer 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Nolongerahobby 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Unkept Secret 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Miss Commander 1.60 2.7 5-1
5 5 California Diva 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Ipanema Girl 4.00 5 10-1
4 4 Lucky Vegas 5.00 5 10-1
6 6 Doozy 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stormy Liberal S.) – Stormy Liberal S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Turn On The Jets (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Unconquerable Keen (IRE) 4.00 1.3 3-1
2 2 Lane Way 1.80 3.1 6-1
7 7 See Through It 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Daniel’s Magic 6.00 5 9-1
8 8 Johnny Podres 12.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Honey Pants 12.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Ah Jeez 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ghost of Midnight 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Hard to Figure 4.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Disco Ball 4.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Thirsty John 8.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Jefe de Obra (CHI) 1.80 3.7 7-1
1 1 Granitiansevensix 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Jimmy Durante S.) – Jimmy Durante S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Zona Verde (IRE) 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mo Fox Givin 6.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Go With Gusto 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Circle of Trust 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Yatta 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Lady de Berry 2.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Ms Brightside (IRE) 12.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Antifona (FR) 12.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 She Is Romantic 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Blue Oasis 15.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Feisty Mitole 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Imagination 0.80 1 2-1
1 1 British Isles 4.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Flight Way 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Tapalo 5.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Better Than Gold 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Sense 8.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Mischief Moments 50.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Hollywood Derby) – Hollywood Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Webslinger 0 0-1
8 8 Program Trading (GB) 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Webslinger 3.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Watsonville 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Reiquist 10.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Santorini 15.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Silver Knott (GB) 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Redistricting (GB) 5.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Seal Team (GB) 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Maltese Falcon (IRE) 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Salsation 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Havoc 3.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Des Doigts 3.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Gentlemen’s Club 5.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Mr. Dreamcycle 10.00 4 7-1
8 8 Handsome Harry 4.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Eligio 5.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Mr. Suds 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sea Dancer 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Ketonia (FR) 6.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Golden Ghost (GB) 4.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Pink Whitney 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Visually 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Ima Joker 30.00 6.5 12-1
12 12 English Danger 12.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Nakota (IRE) 30.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Poppy’s Joy 12.00 7.7 15-1
11 11 Muri (IRE) 8.00 8.7 16-1
3 3 Everything Bugs Me 20.00 9.8 18-1
9 9 Solo Solataire (IRE) 20.00 11 21-1
13 13 Affair 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Air Force Thunder 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.