Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sense of Heart | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pennie’s Magic | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charming Kat | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blueridgeballerina | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ilimitada | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Slim Causeway | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beat the Double | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grace’s Vision | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ourperfectprince | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gone Solution | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sparkin | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Petey | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clever Prince | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Muletrain | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carlos’s Mama | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | K R Power Storm | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charlie’s Parade | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Run Carlos | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Catalina Day | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El It | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rock Solid Words | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mymanrowen | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bellamy Brother | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | All Country | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dixie’s Astro | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pal’s Alarm | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hot Le Roy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chaosmos | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hunters Ghost | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Indimaaj | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Custom Blue Grass | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Discreet Invasion | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Twisted Brade | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pintora | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Abbey Cakes | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Hallie | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gypsy Jackpot | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Talkabout | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweetheart Vision | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cupie Cutie | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Freezer Burn | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lots of Gold | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Miss de Buy | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bind On Earth | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Confusion | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Donnas Final Word | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Starbuck Luck | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mias Moonbeam | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | G Victory | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spheroid | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | U S Navy Cross | 2.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Getcha | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dealin’ Stelen | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tapalist | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Temprano | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sermononthemount | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jumpin Judy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shemeansbizness | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Lightning | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shellby | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spanish Delight | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Won Day | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Izatiz | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Half Page | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Autumn Rob | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joe T | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pound Out a Deal | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mighty Maddox | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dadsamumbler | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smokey G | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chaotic Jack | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frenetic Day | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fruit Cup | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.