Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 2, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sense of Heart 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Pennie’s Magic 12.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Charming Kat 4.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Blueridgeballerina 4.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Ilimitada 2.50 4.6 9-1
8 8 Slim Causeway 12.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Beat the Double 10.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Grace’s Vision 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ourperfectprince 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Gone Solution 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Sparkin 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Petey 5.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Clever Prince 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Muletrain 15.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Carlos’s Mama 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 K R Power Storm 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Charlie’s Parade 5.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Run Carlos 6.00 2 4-1
10 10 Catalina Day 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 El It 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Rock Solid Words 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Mymanrowen 5.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Bellamy Brother 12.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 All Country 20.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Dixie’s Astro 20.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Pal’s Alarm 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hot Le Roy 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Chaosmos 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Hunters Ghost 4.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Indimaaj 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Custom Blue Grass 5.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Discreet Invasion 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Twisted Brade 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Pintora 3.50 2.9 5-1
5 5 Abbey Cakes 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Our Hallie 2.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Gypsy Jackpot 5.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Talkabout 15.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Sweetheart Vision 10.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Cupie Cutie 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Freezer Burn 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Lots of Gold 12.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Lil Miss de Buy 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Bind On Earth 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Sweet Confusion 2.50 3 6-1
2 2 Donnas Final Word 5.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Starbuck Luck 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mias Moonbeam 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 G Victory 6.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Spheroid 12.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 U S Navy Cross 2.00 4 7-1
6 6 Getcha 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Dealin’ Stelen 8.00 5.6 10-1
7 7 Tapalist 15.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Temprano 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Sermononthemount 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jumpin Judy 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Shemeansbizness 3.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Summer Lightning 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Shellby 15.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Spanish Delight 4.50 6.2 12-1
6 6 Won Day 5.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Izatiz 15.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Half Page 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Autumn Rob 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Joe T 4.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 Pound Out a Deal 3.50 3.7 7-1
9 9 Mighty Maddox 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Dadsamumbler 15.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Smokey G 10.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Chaotic Jack 6.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Frenetic Day 8.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Fruit Cup 15.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.