Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 2, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Serenadingthemoon 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Cced for Steph 2.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 War Tourist 3.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Cece Wave 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Sweet Little Rose 5.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Sum Charm 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Continental Red 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Whimsically 3.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Taylors Magic 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Tempting Lady 8.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Purr Factor 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Way to Be Marie 4.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Matching Energy 8.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Cora’s Legacy 8.00 7.7 14-1
13 13 Miss Harmonic 8.00 8.5 16-1
3 3 Without Cause 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Joyful Image 10.00 9.3 18-1
6 6 Jam’s Paper Moon 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Still Temper 15.00 9.9 19-1
15 15 Sotona 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Ms Sedona 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Princess Avery 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Not Tonight Joe 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Optimal Courage 8.00 1 2-1
11 11 Beverly Park 12.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Concrete Glory 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 High Cruise 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Caramel Chip 4.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Junior Bug 4.50 4 8-1
10 10 Breaking News 15.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Wrath 50.00 9.1 17-1
4 4 Motion to Strike 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Magic Castle 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Elle’sbigseacret 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Classic Bet 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Invaluable 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Hashtag Lucky 10.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Choctaw Bingo 10.00 1.9 3-1
4 4 Samarita 1.80 2.1 4-1
3 3 Hot Dame 12.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Xylophone 10.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 My Good Fortune 8.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Pens Street 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Girl Thirsty 30.00 8 15-1
8 8 Northern Diamond 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Yankee Dollar 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Annie’s Song (IRE) 8.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Swoonatra 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Anatolian 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Strong Odor 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Enchanted Nile 12.00 4 8-1
6 6 Indicia 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Dana’s Beauty 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Perhaps Tonight (IRE) 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Time for Trouble 3.50 1 2-1
11 11 Coach Adams 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Toma Todo 12.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 On a Spree 4.50 5.6 11-1
9 9 Missed the Boat 20.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Moment 15.00 5.8 11-1
12 12 Willy the Cobbler 15.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Caseys Memory 15.00 6.3 12-1
13 13 Proverb 4.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Mau Mau 20.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Scooter’s Boy 30.00 11.5 22-1
6 6 Knight’s Cross 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Nordic Light 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mischievous Rogue 3.00 1 2-1
12 12 Bodenheimer 12.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Atta Party 8.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Shimmer Me Timbers 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Counterstrike 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Tilted Towers 8.00 5 9-1
6 6 Smithwick’s Spice 20.00 5.1 10-1
11 11 Cotton 8.00 5.4 10-1
14 14 Ship It Red 20.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Mister Chairman 30.00 5.7 11-1
13 13 Tough Charlie 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Bring Me a Check 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Rebel Posse 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Zoombie 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pure Panic 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Like a Saltshaker 1.80 1.3 2-1
8 8 Solidify 4.50 3.5 7-1
11 11 Richiesonaroll 10.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Faithful Ruler 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Startdfromdabottom 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Peso in My Pocket 20.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Desert Ruler 15.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Twirling Roses 20.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Big Rowdy Dan 20.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 All West 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tatanka 10.00 1 2-1
8 8 Tiberius Mercurius 6.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Sonny Smack 20.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Race Craft 5.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Runway Magic 20.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Firewater Jake 20.00 4.1 8-1
12 12 Duke of Carthania 30.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Therapist 1.80 SCRATCH
3 3 More Ice 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Leave It to Kitten 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Bizzee Channel 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Ocelot 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Frosted Grace 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Money Supply 2.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 King’s Ovation 4.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Saqeel 3.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 All West 8.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Luigi’s Spirit 15.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 First Glimpse 20.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Biloxi 20.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Bright Spark 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Comanche Warrior 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Like This 3.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Malaki Empire 8.00 3.7 7-1
12 12 King’s Lute 3.50 4.3 8-1
10 10 Hi Yah 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Anders Smile 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Twofexusnexus 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Tripple D Ruller 15.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Gutzy 8.00 7 13-1
9 9 Myglorybee 20.00 10 19-1
11 11 Lil Woadie 20.00 10.5 20-1
3 3 Check Me Out 20.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.