Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 3, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bargaining Power 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Swing District 1.80 2.2 4-1
2 2 Collect From Ike 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Tap Your Heart 15.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Burton Way 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Play 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Starry Midnight 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ghostly Girl 3.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Harlan’s Bond 4.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Will Be Famous 2.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Dance With Me Babe 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Big Hazel 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Caress 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Gun Song 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Belle’s Blue Bell 4.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Antenna 5.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Leslie’s Loot 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Everlys Girl 4.00 1 2-1
1 4 Try It Again 1.60 1.9 4-1
7 7 Maggie 5.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Roja Ligera 12.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Smokin’ Hot Kitty 10.00 2.8 5-1
1A 9 Howzyourcashflow 1.60 2.9 5-1
3 2 Mended We Stand 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Dufresne 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 3 Cupids Girl 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 South Street 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Bold Looker 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Dads Good Runner 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Uncle Water Flow 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Mama Banned Me 30.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Zapruder 4.50 4.7 9-1
9 9 Chief Engineer 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Happy Bob 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Papi On Ice 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Un Ojo 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Prince of Pharoahs 5.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Exit Right 3.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Mama’s Gold 12.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Colloquy 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Montebello 10.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 No Salt 12.00 7 13-1
6 6 Bossmakinbossmoves 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (New York Stallion Series S.) – New York Stallion Series S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bustin Bay 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Lisa’s Vision 8.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Morning Matcha 1.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Little Linzee 12.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Easy Play 15.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Vallelujah 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Sweetie 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Bank On Anna 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (New York Stallion Series S.) – New York Stallion Series S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Today’s Flavor 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Barese 3.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Niagara Skyline 10.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Callaloo 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Jemography 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Be the Boss 4.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Lobsta 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 General Banker 12.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Vacation Dance 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Love Like Crazy 8.00 1 2-1
2 1 Mia Nipotina 15.00 1.9 4-1
7 6 Mysaria 10.00 2.7 5-1
12 12 Needed 4.50 2.7 5-1
1 8 Pretty Up 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 3 Bells Tolling 20.00 3.9 7-1
8 7 Going for Glory 5.00 4.5 9-1
11 11 Necessaryandproper 5.00 5 9-1
3 2 Change Order 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Cara’s Girl 50.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Tsukimi 12.00 6 11-1
9 9 Six O Three 12.00 9.1 17-1
1A 14 Mangia 2.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Dactilografa 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.