Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rastaman Vibe | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Rastaman Vibe | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nesso’s Lastharrah | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Guy Named Joe | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Bandwagon | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Potential Spam | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ario | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maximum Capacity | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tracker | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Let Seamus Go | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sine Qua Non | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | When Heroes Fly | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bolt At Midnight | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Island Cruiser | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Yolo Calls | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | R Girl’s Werth It | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Turquoise Bikini | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Always Smiling | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Willamina | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blackened | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glory of Chrome | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Almendares (GB) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aligato | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Goliad | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Irideo (ARG) | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vantastic | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crosby Beach | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Castle Leoch | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Aza Tack | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Indian Peak | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Memes | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Giants Candy | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bring Him Home | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quincy Market | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fifty Cinco | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speed of the Nile | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Levon | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Cecil B. Demille S.) – Cecil B. Demille S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Stay Hot | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lord Bullingdon | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miracle Mark | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just a Guess | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rothschild | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Deadpan | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Invincible | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Always On Cay | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charge for Gold | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sharpazano | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ambiguous | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bowtie Boys | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Last Call Paul | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Express Line | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Right in Front | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Veritas Aequitas | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lettheliquortalk | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Mo Joe | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Matriarch S.) – Matriarch S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Whitebeam (GB) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hamwood Flier (IRE) | 12.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beaute Cachee (FR) | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Surge Capacity | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Queen Goddess | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ruby Nell | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elounda Queen (IRE) | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fluffy Socks | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Closing Remarks | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Elm Drive | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gracelund Gray | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Wakanaka (IRE) | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dreaming of Hope | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bossy Bruin Gal | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Conquest Celsius | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | California Code | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Capo Sorella | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Screaming Virginia | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ifuaintfirsturlast | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss World Peace | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Want Ruffles | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lil Nas | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miranda Rights | 6.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hawker | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | X J Rascal (IRE) | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Legislator | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shortman | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Santo Dios (ARG) | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maltese Falcon (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Irish Prophet | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dr. Soulfire | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lahaina Flavor | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hula Candy | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Living Life | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cali Bay (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.