Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Half Again | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reckless Ransom | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coach Kenny | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heza Priority | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saber Run | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lauri’s Wish | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Boliver | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | God Guns N Guts | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nervy | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Money | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vortex | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Hawk Man | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Social Appeal | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Auto Dial | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jocasta | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Show Off | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Regal Rumor | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marquette Warrior | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Love to Eat | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Livi Me Dreaming | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jocasta | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saved by Grace | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Reagan’s Flame | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Hidden Class | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mucho Macho Girl | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Girl Afraid | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rockets Sister | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coexist | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carry On | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Last of the Nile | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ours and Theirs | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Theroanrunner | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sri Lanka | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ms. Lilibet | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Liffey | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Happy Charger | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Irish Molly | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blessing the Flag | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mon Dieu | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Themischievousone | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Noble Bernadette | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Heckled | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Ruth of Judah | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Charco | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Captivated Drama | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Classic Bet | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Knight Commander | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Camp Daddy | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Granddaddylonglegs | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jaysker | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boss’ Dialin In | 4.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Freddy J | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Plane Talk | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Uphold the Law | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Into the Sunrise | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Field Day | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cortese | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Robo | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chiseler | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Swing Shift | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Call Me Midnight | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Escape | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Bertie’s Galaxy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Mister Mmmmm | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | My Pal Mattie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | B D Valeski | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Dowagiac Chief | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Notable Queen | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Not Today Geegee | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First Love | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Toffee | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Super Christie | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Petticoat | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bank On It | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Truly Grateful | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.