Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 3, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 4 Kick Startness 2.50 1 2-1
1A 10 Silverbullettwenty 2.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Burningupthedough 5.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Formal Affair 2.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Restless 20.00 4.9 9-1
3 2 Summerstateofmind 3.50 5.1 10-1
4 3 Aves Makin’ Waves 20.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Double Nickel 20.00 7.5 14-1
2 1 Tizawinner 10.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Sin Permiso 50.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lovely Liza 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Thencomemorning 4.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Shiny Slam 3.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Timely Secret 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 The Haunted Room 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Ginger Girl 1.80 5.7 11-1
1 1 Strategy Queen 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Neil to the King 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Great Opportunity 2.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 El Divino Nino 10.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Grumpy Grin 1.80 3.7 7-1
5 5 Goodbye Note 5.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Albert Finnigan 15.00 5 9-1
9 9 Hoya 8.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Saisir Le Jour 30.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Always Fun 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Ace Nine Nine 0 0-1
2 2 What Say You 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Ace Nine Nine 3.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Walk Away Joe 6.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Bahama Channel 20.00 2 4-1
3 3 Claw 30.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Brasstown 10.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Galatians 3.50 5.8 11-1
8 8 Up Against It 4.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Paco the Taco Man 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Jumpingjaggerflash 5.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Le Vin 12.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Little Lance 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Bigdaddysboy 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 One Way Traffic 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Mister Agent 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 All the Way 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Determined Blue 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Sun Streaming 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Honey B B 12.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 R B’s Big Moment 10.00 4 8-1
4 4 Collected Success 3.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Skip Thru Da Fire 15.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Sippin’ Time 20.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Sweet Summer Love 8.00 5 9-1
10 10 Cundi 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 Martha’s Heart 30.00 6.1 12-1
11 11 El Dorado Queen 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 2 Jardani 1.80 1 2-1
8 9 Frightland 3.50 1.7 3-1
4 5 Dolice Vita 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 4 Your Analysis 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 6 Great Heavens 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 7 Rhumjar 20.00 6 11-1
9 10 Lamarvelous 30.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Shady Munni 1.80 SCRATCH
7 8 Twist ‘n Twirl 8.00 SCRATCH
2 3 Order Ofthe Kettle 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Shinelikeadiamond 10.00 1 2-1
8 8 Angelofcanterbury 8.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Angel Art 8.00 2 4-1
5 5 Deeds of Love 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Genieinabridle 2.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Chickahominy 3.50 4.2 8-1
7 7 Cynergy’s Electra 8.00 5 10-1
4 4 Unconscious Mind 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Army Ranger 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 The Big Enchilada 30.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Infinite Series 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 The Last Jumpstart 5.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Mo Money Mo Betta 2.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Cheatin Song 10.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Fire and Knives 15.00 8 15-1
8 8 Box of Rockets 20.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.