Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sonet’s Name | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dreaming of Audrey | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winyah Bay | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Gamble | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pino in a Purse | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fedalia | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Neophyte | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bachelor Pad | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Victory March | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Keen Flatter | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lapochka | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Race for Pinks | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Souper River | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Max | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ready Hero | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chasing Trouble | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The New Maybe | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | War in Charge | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Enahm | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | This Dude a Breeze | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dare to Be King | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Steady Progress | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Walter Me Lad | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fabled Prince | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Classic Dancer | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Agile Dancer | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Society’s Thunder | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magnificent Mario | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trinity Park | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Diamond Heist | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dream On Baby | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Feelthebeat | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Priceless Will | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Threefiftyseven | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One More Brew | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Salvator Mundi | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Palio | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chairman Bob | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forester Humor | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hilarious Affair | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Artie | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gatling Gun | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quiet Intent | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sooner Lunar | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Guns n’ Rojas | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gran Spirited | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mighty Sea | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Broadway Sky | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Valedictory S.) – Valedictory S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Win for the Money | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Conglomerate | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Millie Girl | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Palazzi | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Meyer | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 14 | 14 | English Conqueror | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | War Court | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prideofdistinction | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Collective Force | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luckman | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | So High (GB) | 6.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jim’s Hope | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Seventyseven Stone | 50.00 | 13 | 24-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rapper Zapper | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Star Sign | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Have a Souper Day | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Top of the Charts | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blast in the Snow | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tapsasional | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Proven Strategies | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Steak and Cheese | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Guildsman (FR) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bossy Holiday | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Souper Classy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dragon’s Brew | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tricky Magician | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Master Spy | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cerebro | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tomcat Black | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King Alfredo | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mad Dog N Joe | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sunspear | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.