Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, December 4, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Zoppi Fischbein 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Financial Strength 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Badbadbobby 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 Aye 3.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Tiempo Perfecto 10.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Liberty Runner 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Wilkinson Warrior 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Impetud 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 North Pole 4.00 4 8-1
6 6 Deplane 4.50 4.5 8-1
3 3 Fictionalfairytale 3.50 5.6 11-1
1 1 Tequilamademedoit 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Runnin Redbird 1.20 1 2-1
1 1 Debbie’s Surprise 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Annette Marie 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Total Discretion 2.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 My Jo Jo 4.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Amalfi Lady 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ambitiously Placed 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Beatubyachubinose 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Beyond a Million 4.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Mani Pedi 3.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Miss Loyalty 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Brody Slam 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hit Me I’m Lucky 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Sal N Louie 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Urmizzenthepoint 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Sailor’s Return 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Quickening 4.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Esor 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Louie’s Law 5.00 5 9-1
5 5 Alta Fox 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 More Than Glory 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Social Lady 2.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Dancing On My Own 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Bunny Bonus 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Lookinatlightening 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Lost Luggage 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Dialherup 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Checking Boxes 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Sasse’s Class 5.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Lonesome Boy 3.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Bali Amour 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Twentyeighttothree 4.50 4 8-1
1 1 Craigh Na Dun 20.00 6 11-1
8 8 Jaknava 8.00 6 11-1
4 4 Zona de Amigos 15.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Marine Patrol 15.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Gold Dilemma 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Tap in Formation 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Game Seven 4.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Ninja Prize 8.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Camm’ Duke 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Gamerun 8.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Marvelousmoondance 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Private Cabana 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 The Gatekeeper 5.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 O’Brien 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 The King Cheek 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Uncle Irish 5.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Holdtheflight 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Baafeed 5.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Brilliant Chase 4.50 6.2 12-1
4 4 Margin of Air 12.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Beyond Best 4.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 New Commission 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dee Bo 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Neigh Dude 3.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Jw’s Third Mischie 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Nick the Cardshark 4.50 2.9 6-1
4 4 Satchel de Ritches 10.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Cousin Andrew 15.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Mischievous Juan 10.00 6 11-1
1 1 Crypt 5.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Indirectly 10.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.