Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, December 6, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Royal Consort 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Kahaal 8.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Rap Artist 15.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Double Trap 12.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Chicago Chrome 20.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Loveu and Proudofu 6.00 5 9-1
1 1 Bayou Beaux 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 More Like It 20.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Traffic Control 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Wesleyan 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Katie’s Karat 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Xcaret 12.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Shesaheatwave 5.00 2 4-1
4 4 Bar Tap 9.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Girl Pro 20.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Glance 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Seaward 2.50 3.8 7-1
9 9 Cashew 8.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 El Caliente Lady 20.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 A Wish for Madelyn 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 E R’s Mireya 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Share the Doe 12.00 2 4-1
9 9 Jax’s Starry Bride 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Chacha to Catalina 1.80 3.6 7-1
1 1 Naliya Marie 5.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Lookin Special 10.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Glorious Gears 15.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Hairtrigger Heart 20.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Don’t Blink Twice 20.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Tiz a Breakup 20.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Long Shot Louise 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Whorl Girl 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dixie Farmer 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 Pickin Ana Grinnin 3.50 1.1 2-1
6 6 Betison 6.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Blue Ridge Queen 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Arms Apriority 12.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Muchmorethanready 4.50 5.4 10-1
3 3 Megans Millions 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Hulen 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Preacher 10.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Grey Rogue 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Daahers Bully 2.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Mists of Time 3.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Sailor Chow 20.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 McLean 10.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Mucho Marvin 15.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Waitin’ On a Woman 15.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Farewell Time 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Just a Win 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Mor Kisses 3.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Saberfight 8.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Graeme’s Deal 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Easy Act 10.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 That Is Awesome 5.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Aunt Jana 8.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Cousin Vickie 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Seize the Treasure 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Mosquito Fleet 2.50 2 4-1
2 2 Donegal Factor 4.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Uxmal 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Mazing Mark 5.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Kid Shelleen 6.00 5 9-1
9 9 Midnight Rules 20.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Elusive d’Oro 12.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Flying Houdini 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mr. Shorty 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Secret Riddles 10.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Rite On Sam 3.50 2.9 6-1
8 8 I Nita Warrior 5.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Late Night Cruiser 10.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Yes Jack 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Winmor Wendy 20.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Three Gold Pieces 15.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Legendary Dragon 12.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Carry the Flag 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.