Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nyxed | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Risk Free | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lightbulb Moment | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frau Diablo | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Allegedly | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Split Screen | 1.80 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Poppy’s Pride | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ryan’s Cat | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thinkaboutit | 1.20 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Powerfully Built | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon’s Hope | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prince James | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Commanding General | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Martingale | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Class Act | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Distraction | 30.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rye Tigress | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jayce and Liam | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Regulatory Risk | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Celestial Express | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Complete Agenda | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thistle | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Apollo Rising | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hometown Hero | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Provision | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Life and Light | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strong Light | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Golden Rocket | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carbon | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cinderella’s Cause | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sister Linda | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | April Antics | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eros’s Girl | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amity Island | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Eastern Star | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Foxy Cara | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Krystalheir | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bussia | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Steppin’ Hawk | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Jasmine | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ghostbustin | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’s a Natural | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moonlit Weekend | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Slack Tide | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Timed Out | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jackie the Joker | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vegas Weekend | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Our Little Tiger | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hydra | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Its Cold in Dehere | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Captivating Cara | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vallarand | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thrill of It | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Shadow Dragon | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zeebear | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mason Mania | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Factually Correct | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brew Pub | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thrill of It | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Radio Red | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Simply | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dreampoint | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bronx Bomber | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Andiamo a Firenze | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bustino Santino | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vaunted | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chalky Cat | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | First Sons | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Somama Beach | 50.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sin Nombre | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Compromiser | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Woodside Warrior | 3.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alpha Sonny | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | War Prince | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Majestic Arc | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Messi the Magician | 8.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sharpaz | 6.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.