Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 7, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ketanji 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Black Ace 2.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Boston Belle 10.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Savannah’s Here 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Kimberly’s Jackpot 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Brooke’s All In 12.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Roadside Girl 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Bell Pepper 5.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Apriority Girl 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 My My Limit 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Catinandscatin 20.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Midnight Crown 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 K V Target 8.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Ide Like Hawaii 3.50 7 13-1
6 6 Chief Kimosabi 10.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Soulology 4.50 7.7 15-1
3 3 Toocan Dance 15.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Angola Vacation 20.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Admiral Afleet 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Josie’s Priority 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Country Cat Jake 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Pal’s Alarm 3.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Valley Mischief 10.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Half Crazy 20.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Truvy’s Bandit 4.50 5.2 10-1
10 10 Dee’s Legs 12.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Chelsea’s Glory 20.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Little Warrior 5.00 9.9 19-1
4 4 My Story 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Boyfriend Material 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Big Money Machine 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Double Thunder 6.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Louis Le Grande 3.00 2 4-1
3 3 Bode’s Light 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Mr. B Cause 4.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Americain Joey 8.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Herzen 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Hardcore Folklore 20.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Tappin Fora Dance 20.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Motataabeq 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Monolith 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Nephi 4.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Kat’s Soldier 3.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Royal de Be 10.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 My Uncle Billy 5.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Mustbelieve 15.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Tapit Twice 8.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Flying in Hot 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Straighten Up 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Violent City 1.80 4.3 8-1
7 7 Adieu Aces 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Relic Hunter 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Texas Turbine 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Dusty Hill 6.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Flashy Boy 20.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Oceola 20.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Temple City Run 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bri 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Loneshilohspecial 3.50 1.3 3-1
3 3 Ann’s Storm 2.50 2.4 4-1
5 5 Midnight Trip 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Glory to Me 5.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Cajun Aces 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Emmas Ruler 12.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Lacis Jewel 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Outlaw X. 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Full Power 5.00 2 4-1
7 7 Pray Ide Sing 12.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Target Practice 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 My Book 20.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Gottatakehimto 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Mean Cruiser 20.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Whiskey’s Gone 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Schnell 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.