Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 7, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Roses Are Free 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Peace in Paradise 4.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Few Regrets 6.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Tatoosonmysoul 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 Moet Monet 2.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Defamation 20.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Ferocious Queen 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Tangerine Twist 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Barefoot Servantu 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Mucho Misstique 2.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Almonte Princess 3.50 5.3 10-1
7 7 Rumours Fly 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Sloans Sky 6.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Standing Strong 20.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Blackmarsh 20.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Classic Glory 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mo Tough 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mardene 2.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Trilling Song 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Ella Frances 3.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Mason’s Music 3.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Ghostly Perfection 12.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 All for Honor 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 More Savvy 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Wicked Miah 3.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Endorphin Rush 5.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Liplock 10.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Color Force 12.00 6 11-1
3 3 Wake Up Maggie 8.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Stormy Suzie 20.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Fresh Dreams 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Text Me Up 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Helluva Holiday 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sherif Ali 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Dresden Row 2.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Faithful Creek 3.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Code Omaha 4.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Break the Spell 12.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Fabelman 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 True Temper 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Souper Watson 10.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 One Bay Hemingway 15.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Jazz Hands 10.00 3 6-1
1 1 Red River Rebel 4.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 City Mischief 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Messier 1.80 4.9 9-1
8 8 Journeyman 15.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Kinetic Stone 20.00 6 11-1
5 5 Hunt Master 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Arriviste 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Umneyaat 20.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Worldly Beauty 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Diosa Catrina 15.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Machina 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Ashbury 6.00 5 9-1
5 5 Ravello Beauty 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Moonbright 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Mountain Sound 3.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Rookie Court 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Gold Forester 2.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Thatsitthatsall 10.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Sweet Nola 12.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Golden Train 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 War’s End Kiss 20.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Mamma Katz 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.