Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Roses Are Free | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peace in Paradise | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Few Regrets | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tatoosonmysoul | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moet Monet | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Defamation | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ferocious Queen | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tangerine Twist | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Barefoot Servantu | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mucho Misstique | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Almonte Princess | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rumours Fly | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sloans Sky | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Standing Strong | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blackmarsh | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classic Glory | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mo Tough | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mardene | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trilling Song | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ella Frances | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mason’s Music | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ghostly Perfection | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | All for Honor | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | More Savvy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wicked Miah | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Endorphin Rush | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Liplock | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Color Force | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wake Up Maggie | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stormy Suzie | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fresh Dreams | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Text Me Up | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Helluva Holiday | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sherif Ali | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dresden Row | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Faithful Creek | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Code Omaha | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Break the Spell | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fabelman | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | True Temper | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Souper Watson | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | One Bay Hemingway | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jazz Hands | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red River Rebel | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | City Mischief | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Messier | 1.80 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Journeyman | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kinetic Stone | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hunt Master | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Arriviste | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Umneyaat | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Worldly Beauty | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Diosa Catrina | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Machina | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ashbury | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ravello Beauty | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Moonbright | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mountain Sound | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rookie Court | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gold Forester | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thatsitthatsall | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Nola | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Train | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | War’s End Kiss | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mamma Katz | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.