Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 8, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Malarchuk 0 0-1
6 6 Eliminate 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Speed Runner 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Malarchuk 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Gum Island 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Reasoned Analysis 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Society Man 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sheer Dominance 15.00 1 2-1
2 2 Union Bulldog 1.60 1.3 3-1
6 6 Shamrock Shake 6.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Get Ready to Rock 15.00 2 4-1
5 5 Allegrini 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Dune Road 10.00 4 8-1
1 1 Unique Insight 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fontanafredda 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Sue Ellen Mishkin 3.00 2 4-1
5 5 Meraviglioso 5.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Liberty Flame 6.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Behind the Couch 5.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Diva Banker 4.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Freddymo Factor 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Amani’s Tiger 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Venge 10.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Lucency 1.40 2.4 4-1
6 6 Authorize 2.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Egypt 3.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Lord Vicente (ARG) 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 John’s Protege 10.00 1 2-1
3 2 Mach One 10.00 1.8 3-1
1 4 Moving Pictures 2.00 3 6-1
1A 10 Charger 2.00 3 6-1
8 8 Big Save 3.00 3.3 6-1
2 1 Brunate 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Wartapped 30.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Persistent Danger 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Sorpreso 20.00 6.3 12-1
4 3 Midnight Worker 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Retail Man 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Mad Banker 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Solo Tonight 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 A Knight’s Courage 5.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Sahanatien 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 How U Doin 8.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Braca 10.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 The Delaware Boyz 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Jolly Miss Jill 4.50 1 2-1
1 3 Chasing Daylight 1.80 1.4 3-1
4 4 I Feel the Need 3.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Miss Kristy 15.00 2.4 5-1
2 1 Mim 10.00 3.1 6-1
9 10 Leadership Ability 8.00 4 8-1
3 2 Duckphat 8.00 4 8-1
1A 8 Bon Adieu 1.80 4.1 8-1
8 9 Bella Principessa 15.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Dream Road 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Khali Magic 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Tempermental 3.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Peak of Chic 4.50 1.9 3-1
3 3 Missing Fortune 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Ribot’s Valentine 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Stone Creator 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Run Chata 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Red Butterfly 5.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 George’s Vice 4.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 First Class Cat 10.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Teresa 3.50 4 8-1
7 7 Army of Thoughts 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Maxing the Bank 30.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Mo Damorninggrouch 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Knockzcatoffzfence 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.