Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malarchuk | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Eliminate | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speed Runner | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Malarchuk | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gum Island | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Reasoned Analysis | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Society Man | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sheer Dominance | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Union Bulldog | 1.60 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shamrock Shake | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Get Ready to Rock | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Allegrini | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dune Road | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unique Insight | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fontanafredda | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sue Ellen Mishkin | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Meraviglioso | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Liberty Flame | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Behind the Couch | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Diva Banker | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Freddymo Factor | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Amani’s Tiger | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Venge | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucency | 1.40 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Authorize | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Egypt | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lord Vicente (ARG) | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | John’s Protege | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mach One | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Moving Pictures | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Charger | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Save | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Brunate | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wartapped | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Persistent Danger | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sorpreso | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Midnight Worker | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Retail Man | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mad Banker | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Solo Tonight | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A Knight’s Courage | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sahanatien | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | How U Doin | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Braca | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Delaware Boyz | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jolly Miss Jill | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Chasing Daylight | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Feel the Need | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Kristy | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mim | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Leadership Ability | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Duckphat | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Bon Adieu | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Bella Principessa | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dream Road | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Khali Magic | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tempermental | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Peak of Chic | 4.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Missing Fortune | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ribot’s Valentine | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stone Creator | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Run Chata | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Butterfly | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | George’s Vice | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | First Class Cat | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Teresa | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Army of Thoughts | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maxing the Bank | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Damorninggrouch | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Knockzcatoffzfence | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.