Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 8, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Essential Bella 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Midnight’s Girl 4.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 She’s Gone d’Wild 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Dream Town 8.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Atomic Rose 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Waters of Merom 3.50 5.1 10-1
6 6 Paintbrush 15.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Fasted 15.00 6 11-1
7 7 B’s Lil’ Bumblebee 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Prado’s Priority 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Half Full 6.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Draft Choice 2.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Alterana 1.80 2.6 5-1
3 3 Heza Sexy Zong 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Thundertakesdalead 12.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Adios Carlos 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fist City 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Overcast 2.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 Take Her Away 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 Circle Up 12.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Customerunhappy 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Bellamysawesomeday 5.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Wicked Saint 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Half Off Half 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Honor My Speed 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Ferocity 3.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Platinum Equity 4.50 2 4-1
3 3 Verrazano First 5.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Donna’s Court 8.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Run Away Son 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Yes Bab 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 All of Us 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Tha Illest Deal 12.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 San Juan Hill 5.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Dial Uncle Joey 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Reginald Aurelius 15.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Flash Freddie 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Brimestone Kid 20.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Saberman 20.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Deal With Him 4.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Razz 8.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Custom Crescent 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Janet’s Devil 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Majestic Mandate 3.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 G E H Giants Way 8.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Barahin 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Big Brother 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Xanthus Wrath 12.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Chiefweave 15.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 G’s Storm 4.50 5.3 10-1
8 8 Double Priority 8.00 5.7 11-1
12 12 Homeland Messa 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Michael’s Bad Boy 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 New Dice 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Seau 12.00 1 2-1
10 10 Provost 3.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Codetowin 5.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Tapit’s Spirit 12.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Tiz the Big One 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Muffin Nuts 4.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Mark the Moose 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 American Code 20.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Moro Mafia 8.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 I See Clearly Now 6.00 7.4 14-1
12 12 Sir Eli 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Penetrator 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Vietnam Victory 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Marks Promise 6.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Vivir Con Alegria (CHI) 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Zestful 15.00 5 9-1
5 5 Its a Wrap 15.00 5 9-1
9 9 Mbagnick (CHI) 3.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Strong Eagle 3.50 5.2 10-1
2 2 Hyperbolist 8.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Blue Cheese 15.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Ballinonabudjet 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Life Is a Banquet 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Pacificislandtime 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Irish Moon 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 The Donegal Clan 4.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Defiant Malice 4.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Free Drop Rob 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Special Stormy 5.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Rumpusinthesky 8.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Donegal Dreamer 6.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Cowboy Cause 15.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 El Keczal 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.