Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Simply Striking | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shinka | 30.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Broken Banker | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Annamaria | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Channel Loop | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wow Lucky | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Northern Road | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ashima | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Skinny Cosmo | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Girlstormy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Megan Makin Money | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Greek Mojo | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Glass Star | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shez Speightful | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marthamaywhovier | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Upstreet | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Sensation | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tribute | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Aperol Spritz | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Belleshazza | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Tremaine | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Breaking Bullet | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Merry Gold | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A J’s Memory | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | For the Thrill | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | What’s Good | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | On the Dot | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Derby Hangover | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indescriptable | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blueish | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Olivia’s Sparkle | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Siphon City Girl | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cairnhill | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Speight’spercomete | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Justintimeforwine | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grande Soiree | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Watch the Music | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dubby Dubbie | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thenorthremembers | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Suprise | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Burning Man | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Turf Rocket | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dazzling Move | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Far and Few | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Arduous | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ernestina | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kap Hoorn | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Easy Street | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Problematica | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | It’s Goodtobe Jose | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Imaboutago (IRE) | 3.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Karaya | 10.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Tramontane | 2.50 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Let’s Go Philly | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Singing Sandra | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mainstream Sellout | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Red Sun Dress | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nunofthisnunofthat | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Braccesca | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Survival Rose | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Goldcrest | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I Believe in Magic | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Looking for Hope | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | La Runa | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Simplify (ARG) | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Le Boiana | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chaina | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Great Analogy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Eyes On Target | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Doorman | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fighter in the Win | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Samburu (GB) | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Red Flag Alert | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lights of Broadway | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gentleman Gerry | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Captain Anthony | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mailman Money | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Brooklyn Strong | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tommy Bee | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tepeu | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Skyhooper | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scaramanga | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prix de West | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Norfie | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Antillean | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Doc Ballard | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gingersnap Jack | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Handsome Runner | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wild Flight | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kohaku | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.