Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Joya Del Sur | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | True Blue Pearl | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fool Yourself | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Esperannna | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daily Planet | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Feathers (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Matoula | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Grand Escape | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Savoy | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grand Manner | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One More Factor | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shoot Themessenger | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mice and Men | 50.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bad Guy | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Crownedcountcristo | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Rusty Raymond | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Senate Chamber | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shake the Sugar | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Trillion | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | C C Royal | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A P M Notion | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shining Spirit | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Keep It Safe | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tohonorstelle | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Berks | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Magic Michael | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | All Threes | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Shaft’s Bullet | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dats Mr. Mo | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Monday Morning Qb | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Outlier | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Ournationonparade | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Minny Speightster | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Never Grew Up | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eric’s Gift | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Minimo | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Endeavor | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gino Thinkaboutit | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Chinito | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Imagine the Glory | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gabriel Seven | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mucho de La Mancha | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cuchulain | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tortola | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Jack Cloud | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Malibu Slew | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Not Thistimerandy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | McCrakens Ghost | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uncaptured Storm | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Easy Days | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vax a Nation | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Langlee Avenue | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Crossland | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brooklyn Guy | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hachure | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Switzer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Grand Pick | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tidewater | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Disputed Claim | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tenebris | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Warlock | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heads Or Tails | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Arden’sluckytobe | 50.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ampersand | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fole’s Notion | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Find Faith | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Northern Glow | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lifelovenlaughter | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bay Street | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heybackatcha | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Red Wine Time | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Too Many Kisses | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Fast Breakin Cash | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Southern District | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Rustys Gfivefifty | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tom Hagen | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fortune’s Fool | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Hunter Joe | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Maximum Impact | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Last Mission | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.