Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 8, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Prince Prancealot 0 0-1
3 3 Mr. Chivas 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Curlin’s Kaos 2.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Billy Joe Shaver 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Prince Prancealot 20.00 4 8-1
1 1 Travelin’ Show 3.50 6.4 12-1
4 4 Final Storm 4.50 6.7 13-1
7 7 Running Tiger 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 King Zog 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Magnificent Ride 0.80 1 2-1
3 3 Atta Boy Lloyd 3.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Bluegrass Ryder 4.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Nahan 15.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Getemdusty 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 La Paloma Blanca 1.00 1 2-1
6 5 Blessed Angel 3.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Modera 2.00 2.5 5-1
5 4 Sugar Sugar 10.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Back On the Street 8.00 3.1 6-1
2 98 Barbera 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hill Sixteen 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Dark Marcus 3.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Big Drinker 5.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 El Rey Dorado 2.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Rays Regal 20.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Logon to Win 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Equipo A 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 King Adrock 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Kislovodsk 3.50 3.3 6-1
10 10 Afternoon Heat 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Mighty Matt 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Crosskirk 20.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Warrens World 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Divine Feminine 3.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Agrigento 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 San Jac 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Capacity 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Thrust 1.60 2.4 5-1
2 2 Smarty Nose 5.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Beyond Compare 3.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Chasing Alchemy 4.50 4.5 9-1
3 3 Number One Son 20.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Won Bid 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Take Action 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Papa Tiger 3.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Soul of Midnight 6.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Macnamara 8.00 2 4-1
3 3 Tangledupingrey 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Eagles Landing 3.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Road of Love 12.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Tiz the Tale 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Divine Rascal 8.00 1 2-1
7 6 I’m a Lucky Man 4.00 1 2-1
6 5 Tom Bombadil 3.00 1.1 2-1
10 9 Missed Call 8.00 1.9 4-1
3 2 Top of My Game 4.00 2.4 5-1
4 3 Brutto 4.50 2.5 5-1
2 1 Whoa Buddy 30.00 3 6-1
5 4 Sir Flatter 15.00 SCRATCH
1 98 John Grey 0.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Sai Con (FR) 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.