Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scrimshire | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Motown Collection | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Colonel Barton | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Peel | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Singing Groom | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | State School Smart | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eight Straight | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scrimshire | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Preparedness | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lakeside Rumble | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Natural Touch | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Ember | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kava | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Two Bells | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I Be Gone | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Presleys Turn | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Latifah | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moenchanted | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Appealing Addie | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Predicting | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fine by Design | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rhonda Ruth | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Texas Sequoia | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tactical Express | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Payne | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sky and Sand | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Friar Laurence | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stage Left | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Aaron | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cold as Hell | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eli’s Promise | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Galerio | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wartime Hero | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mint | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baba’s Boy | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Colosi | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | City Legend | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shamayim | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Make Noise | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nate’s Attack | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Yak | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mansfield Tiger | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | World Fair | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nullify | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Just Ask Watts | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Melt With You | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Major Mack | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chun Money | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Texas Town | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ak Sar Ben Derby | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Crushed It | 2.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ask Willie | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tell ‘Em I’m Comin | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Shattuck | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Irish Ransom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Guarani | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lichita | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Meghan | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hissy Missy | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Courtly | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taking Charge Desi | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Awesome View | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sassy Sagey | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chasing Shadows | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chaparrita | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Navagationalbeacon | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fashion Rage | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | You Little Vixen | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honey Run | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Friend Amy | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Sister Sue | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shanghai Express | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Abby the Bull Dawg | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Demi | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Splenda Gail | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shez Stuck Up | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Backyard Money | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bennykayandsuzytoo | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tyrona | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wildwood Bye | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Saint Sarena | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Margoinabubblebath | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Always Angels | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alsanah | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Caumsett | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Shugs | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Advent S.) – Advent S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Molly’s Town | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | General Shipman | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Market Street | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bye Bye Liam | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Willy D’s | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Valentine Candy | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Soddy J | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Andy’s Candy | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ceepeegee | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Drewmania | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frost Free | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spirit’s Mischief | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Art Queen | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Extremely Gruntled | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Taylors Magic | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amy Z | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Her Best Friend | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fantastical | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Catalyst | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Honor Cat | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | In Good Taste | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lite It Up Louie | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scenic Beauty | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | In Just My Heels | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.