Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Make No Mistake | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tempereya | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ami’s Link | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Erasmo’s Girl | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Its a Birdie | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thunderheavyrain | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Autumn’s So Flashy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Busta Groove | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | It’s Me Mario | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sugartap | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hard Reload | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cut’em Loose | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Commander At Sea | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lloyd | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Secret | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chancel | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | It Worked | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Upstart Gentleman | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Diamondback | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bocelli | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Taradar | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Whaddya Mean | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Magic Tomahawk | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miah Said | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ask in My Name | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stephen B Good | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Demba | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Today | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just for Maddie | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hygge | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Secord | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Camarosa | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sugar It’s Eli | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whiting Field | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tech Wizard | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’ve Decided | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oh Peanuts | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Clarence B | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cornwall | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scat Factor | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coprolite | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Highland Rocky | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Screen Legend | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speed Loader | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Bonanza | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blondina’s Boy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Native Prince | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Timeskip | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coleyville | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hullabaloo | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mambointheforest | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stop the Humbug | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Half Lit | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | October Frost | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Swath | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Tourist | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Echo With Laughter | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucys Child | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tranquility Base | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Live by Faith | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ready Hero | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Copinsay | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Highland Society | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | First Spring | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.