Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 8, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Make No Mistake 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Tempereya 3.50 2 4-1
5 5 Ami’s Link 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Erasmo’s Girl 2.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Its a Birdie 4.50 5.5 10-1
4 4 Thunderheavyrain 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Autumn’s So Flashy 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Busta Groove 6.00 1.9 3-1
5 5 It’s Me Mario 10.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Sugartap 2.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Hard Reload 20.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Cut’em Loose 8.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Commander At Sea 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Lloyd 4.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Malibu Secret 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Chancel 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 It Worked 3.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Upstart Gentleman 6.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Diamondback 8.00 6 11-1
7 7 Bocelli 20.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Taradar 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Whaddya Mean 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Magic Tomahawk 10.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Miah Said 6.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Ask in My Name 2.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Stephen B Good 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Demba 8.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Today 12.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Just for Maddie 20.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Hygge 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Secord 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Camarosa 2.50 1.1 2-1
5 5 Sugar It’s Eli 2.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Whiting Field 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Tech Wizard 8.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 I’ve Decided 20.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Oh Peanuts 12.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Clarence B 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Cornwall 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Scat Factor 3.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Coprolite 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Highland Rocky 20.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Screen Legend 4.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Speed Loader 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Gold Bonanza 10.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Blondina’s Boy 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Native Prince 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Timeskip 3.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Coleyville 2.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 Hullabaloo 10.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Mambointheforest 6.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Stop the Humbug 12.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Half Lit 20.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 October Frost 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Swath 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Mo Tourist 5.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Echo With Laughter 3.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Lucys Child 12.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Tranquility Base 8.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 I Live by Faith 20.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Ready Hero 10.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Copinsay 20.00 8.8 17-1
7 7 Highland Society 20.00 9.9 19-1
1 1 First Spring 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.