Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 9, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Silo Ridge 0.80 1 2-1
6 6 Light the Way 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Play 12.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Gold ‘n’ Scarlet 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 War Stride 5.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Login Required 2.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Higher Quality 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 No Burn 1.80 1.6 3-1
6 6 Truculent 2.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Six Percent 4.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 America’s Justice 12.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Funkenstein 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 G Munning 1.00 1 2-1
4 4 Good Rapport 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Uncle George 5.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Hatch 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Blue Plate Special 10.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Dads Good Runner 20.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Kentucky Joker 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Ego Man 3.00 1 2-1
3 2 Printrack 3.50 1.5 3-1
4 3 Nolo Contesto 10.00 3.3 6-1
1A 8 Big Engine 1.60 4 8-1
5 5 Air Show 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Mister J T 15.00 4.6 9-1
1 4 Colonel Vargo 1.60 SCRATCH
7 7 Chuck Willis (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Critical Threat 0 0-1
4 4 Joker Boy 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Critical Threat 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Winning Drive 5.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Nobodyridesforfree 15.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 What’s My Category 20.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Dontbelate 4.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 First Deputy 15.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Clem Labine 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Flying in Style 8.00 1 2-1
2 1 Caldo Candy 3.00 2.4 5-1
1 3 Good Reunion 1.80 3.2 6-1
6 7 Paschal Moon 20.00 3.8 7-1
3 2 Friday I’m in Love 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 8 Flip’s Dream 6.00 5.4 10-1
8 9 The Mighty Don 10.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Rollin in Dough 4.50 5.7 11-1
1A 6 Beary Funny 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Trafalgar 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Awesome Native 2.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Victorious Wave 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Mr Bob 12.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Magnolia Midnight 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Legends Can’t Die 3.00 4 8-1
9 9 Twenty Four Mamba 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Chewing Gum 15.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Alternate Reality 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Garland Of Roses S.) – Garland Of Roses S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Hot Fudge 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Olga Isabel 2.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Kant Hurry Love 8.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Headland 3.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 You Look Cold 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Self Isolation 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Disco Ebo 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Photo Finish 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Call Her Bluff 6.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Scarlet’s Dream 3.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Dolce Veloce 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Lucky Spin 15.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Fabulous Fox 4.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Poseidon’s Mist 15.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Saving Memories 15.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.