Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Silo Ridge | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Light the Way | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Play | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gold ‘n’ Scarlet | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War Stride | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Login Required | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Higher Quality | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Burn | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Truculent | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Six Percent | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | America’s Justice | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Funkenstein | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | G Munning | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Good Rapport | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Uncle George | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hatch | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Plate Special | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dads Good Runner | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kentucky Joker | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Ego Man | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Printrack | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Nolo Contesto | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Big Engine | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Air Show | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mister J T | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Colonel Vargo | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Chuck Willis (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Threat | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Joker Boy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Critical Threat | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Winning Drive | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nobodyridesforfree | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | What’s My Category | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dontbelate | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | First Deputy | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Clem Labine | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Flying in Style | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Caldo Candy | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Good Reunion | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Paschal Moon | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Friday I’m in Love | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Flip’s Dream | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | The Mighty Don | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rollin in Dough | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Beary Funny | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Trafalgar | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Native | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Victorious Wave | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Bob | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magnolia Midnight | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Legends Can’t Die | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Twenty Four Mamba | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chewing Gum | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alternate Reality | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Garland Of Roses S.) – Garland Of Roses S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hot Fudge | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Olga Isabel | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kant Hurry Love | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Headland | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | You Look Cold | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Self Isolation | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Disco Ebo | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Photo Finish | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Call Her Bluff | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scarlet’s Dream | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dolce Veloce | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Spin | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fabulous Fox | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Poseidon’s Mist | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saving Memories | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.