Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 9, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Prizeless 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Bertie’s Galaxy 2.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 Grunt 6.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Sammy Danseur Jr. 4.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Janets Jay Jay 6.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Wild Bert 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Holy Bayou 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Riptide Rose 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Nownowdancer 10.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Bayou Beauty 8.00 2 4-1
8 8 Geaux Vote 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Crystal d’Oro 4.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 World of Hurt 4.50 6.2 12-1
2 2 Apriority Catch 15.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Gap Daddy 15.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Run Bambi Run 3.00 8 15-1
7 7 Queen of the Moon 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gamer Nate 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Cajun Cyclone 5.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Majestic Palace 3.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Deacon Jones 10.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 No More Words 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Tdzshininluckystar 2.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Toni’s Inferno 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fleetridge 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Guitar Slim 6.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Runtoday 4.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Burning Leaves 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Get Them Justin 6.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Warrior’s Run 8.00 6 11-1
1 1 Woke Up in Love 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Avendore 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Like Fine Wine 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 I’m All Mixed Up 20.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 She’s Takin Over 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Lady Envoy 4.50 5 9-1
4 4 Simple Sunday 12.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Cajun Two Step 6.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Cayman Queen 10.00 6 11-1
2 2 Indy Lover 15.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 Marilyn’s Magic 20.00 9.4 18-1
11 11 Elizabeth Renee 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Two Minute Drill 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Another Hot Mess 2.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Kela’s Turn 10.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Dashyns Dream 5.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Tensas Candy 5.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Marina’s Gold 6.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Tincandance 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Akiane’s Soldier 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Circle the Moon 1.80 1 2-1
9 9 Love a Fighter 3.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Hullinahurry 4.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Grosse Tete Ian 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Captains Cove 6.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Astern Banker 8.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Out Making Treble 15.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Wings of Gold 20.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 El Mic Tiesun 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Big Beauty 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Ring Twice 4.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Miss Shipman 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Expect a Dancer 12.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Broken Hearts Bay 2.50 5.9 11-1
7 7 Psalm Prayer 15.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Hopeshecanrun 20.00 8 15-1
5 5 Hamazing Lace 12.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Frosted Diamond 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Our Clover Gal 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Layla’s Song 2.50 1.2 2-1
8 8 Viewing Trail 4.50 2 4-1
9 9 Acela Express 5.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 California Cali 8.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Leprechaun Charm 12.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Mave Runner 20.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Bye Bye Big Baby 15.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 That You Margaret 20.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Kancancutie 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 New Destiny 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.