Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 9, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Stakes) – Starter Stakes

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Track Smart 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Thetruthisthetruth 2.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Serape 5.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Myfriendsawinner 4.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 For Real Alice 4.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Blessed Anna 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pursuit l’Harmonie 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Lawless Times 4.50 1.1 2-1
9 9 Sweet Alexis 3.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 Tap Iron Fist 5.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Daisy de Oro 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Lightening Mo 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Everylittlesingh 15.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Runlikelanie 12.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Mia Antonia 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Stakes) – Starter Stakes

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bootsie’s Galaxy 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Dixie Street 3.50 1.3 2-1
6 6 Izzy’s Baby Boy 3.50 2.4 4-1
5 5 Hail State 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Charli Michael 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Sharp Charlie 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Darling Joanna 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Beautiful Ending 8.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 My Little Jen 4.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 Our Little Girl 15.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Summertime Bandit 20.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Kenya Strike 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Mi Lia 20.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Calaja 10.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Pat Hand Girl 15.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Zeerock 20.00 8.2 16-1
5 5 Spellbinding 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Louisiana Champions Day Classic S.) – Louisiana Champions Day Classic S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Touchuponastar 0.60 1 2-1
4 4 Tumbarumba 2.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Cosmic Train 20.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Bayou Jam 30.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Behemah Star 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Mangum 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Great Coolness 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Calicoco 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Mi Solution 3.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Commander Scott 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 I Don’t Venmo 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Cajun Ami 12.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Moment of Stardom 4.00 6.1 11-1
10 10 Frenchy Departed 20.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Stiff Drink 20.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Go Brother Go 20.00 8 15-1
11 11 Jeffrow 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Louisiana Champions Day Juvenile S.) – Louisiana Champions Day Juvenile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Spinning Aces 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Good and Stout 4.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Strong Promise 3.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Stovall 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Prodigy Paradise 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 El Dinero 5.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Sounds Like Power 12.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Hymn for Carlos 20.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Rising Koto Star 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Louisiana Champions Day Turf S.) – Louisiana Champions Day Turf S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Woods N Water 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Who Took the Money 1.80 1.9 4-1
1 1 Silver Galaxy 10.00 4 8-1
7 7 Behemah Star 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Budro Talking 4.50 4.5 8-1
4 4 Real City Speed 6.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Regal Kingdom 8.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Sonya Knows Better 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Louisiana Champions Day Ladies Distaff S.) – Louisiana Champions Day Ladies Distaff S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Free Like a Girl 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Star Moment 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 A G’s Charlotte 2.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Cheapskate Diva 15.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Fort Polk 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Vale Male 6.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Wholelottamo 10.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Sabra Tuff 4.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Louisiana Champions Day Ladies Sprint S.) – Louisiana Champions Day Ladies Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ova Charged 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Beleout 6.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Basalt Street 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Olivia G 6.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Free Drop Maddy 12.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Speedy Dudette 20.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Spirited Beauty 8.00 7 13-1
9 9 Miss Priority 20.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Snowball 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Free Like a Girl 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Louisiana Champions Day Lassie S.) – Louisiana Champions Day Lassie S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Clearly a Test 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Lightofmaine 20.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Guitar Solo 4.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Accommodate Eva 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Emily’s Bullet 10.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Tommie G 10.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Undercover Girl 4.00 4.6 9-1
12 12 One Line Ruler 15.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Tap Galore 8.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Sarah’s Court 15.00 8.2 16-1
1 1 Ready for Thunder 30.00 8.9 17-1
10 10 She Smiled At Me 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Astrology Girl 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Louisiana Champions Day Sprint S.) – Louisiana Champions Day Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Scooteria 15.00 1 2-1
14 14 Bron and Brow 3.50 1.9 4-1
9 9 Brian’s Iron Mike 15.00 2.6 5-1
11 11 Mike J 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Highland Creek 6.00 4.3 8-1
13 13 Mangum 5.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Langs Day 6.00 5.7 11-1
12 12 Jax Man 12.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Allnight Moonlight 12.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Hooray Austin 12.00 9.9 19-1
5 5 Helaire 20.00 11.4 22-1
10 10 Fiesty Fist 30.00 12.9 24-1
7 7 Autumns Strong Man 12.00 13.8 26-1
4 4 Unified Report 20.00 14 26-1

RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Handsome Harold 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Wish Carefully 4.50 3.8 7-1
9 9 House Bourbon 10.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Bobby Two Shot’s 6.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Court Jester 12.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Coal Coal Beer 30.00 7.2 14-1
12 12 Essential Star 8.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 Springtown 3.50 8.6 16-1
8 8 Star Star Star 12.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 Bitsy’s Star 12.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 Cypress Gold 8.00 9.8 19-1
3 3 Carpis 12.00 10.1 19-1
13 13 Regatta Bay 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.