Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 9, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Simply Jack 0 0-1
12 12 Nowitzki 10.00 1 2-1
9 9 Simply Jack 8.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Globes 2.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Law of the Jungle 12.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Holiday Fantasy 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Ensign Skip 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 No More Debt 15.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Mateo 30.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Travel Guide 30.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Adorian 30.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 Luna Warrior 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Mufrih 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Quality G 2.50 1 2-1
12 12 Spirit Maker 6.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Fredo 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Blamethegoodtimes 12.00 4 7-1
7 7 Headline News 6.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Omni King 5.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Treasure King 15.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 McMoney 15.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Anamnestic 10.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 Oscar Award 30.00 8.6 16-1
6 6 Ambor Night 30.00 9.4 18-1
8 8 Harrington 20.00 12.2 23-1
16 16 Xy Time 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 King Curlin 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Jeopardy Theory 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Calycanthus 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Spin the Boulevard 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Arrogancy 3.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Far From a Star 4.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Hades 3.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Street Earnings 4.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Fuji Fire 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Mister Cooper 15.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Mighty Mekong 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Laconia 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Sky Divine 2.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 Party Shaker 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 Anna After Midnite 20.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Quick Recovery 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Mi Amore 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 In the End 20.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Ellie’s Runner 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Collected Dreams 30.00 8.7 16-1
4 4 Awe Baby (GB) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Earth 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 The Last Fact 12.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Abe Honestly 3.50 2.9 5-1
8 8 Resist the Devil 8.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Lee Ann’s Warrior 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Verrazanointhesky 20.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Lunar Rocket 30.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Uranium 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Wait A While S.) – Wait A While S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Buttercream Babe 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Ozara (IRE) 1.60 1.9 4-1
6 6 Milliat (IRE) 8.00 3.4 7-1
5 5 Great Venezuela 8.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Beach Cruiser 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Madame Mischief 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Cairo Street 5.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Done Enough 20.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Mist 30.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Good Bright Flames 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Inveigled 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Sea Streak 2.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Chisparrajos 12.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Saint No More 12.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Mugatu 20.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Orb Alpha 30.00 5 10-1
6 6 Catalytic 1.60 SCRATCH
2 2 Astronomico 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Midnight Council 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Houlton 8.00 1 2-1
11 11 In a Jam 15.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Air Invasion 2.50 5.3 10-1
5 5 Carnival Dancer 10.00 5.4 10-1
12 12 Beyond Stoked 10.00 6.1 11-1
10 10 Salacious 6.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Wartime Recess 8.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Galicia’s Spirit 20.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Pet Mat 20.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Oscar’s World 20.00 9.4 18-1
1 1 Izzy d’Oro 30.00 10.8 20-1
15 15 I See You Lookin 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Roundtop 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Abrumar 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Team Travis 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fly the W 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Tiz Romantic 1.80 1.7 3-1
8 8 Wind Ninety Nine 12.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Bryce Canyon 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Uncle Armando 6.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Gliding Afleet 30.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Veterans Beach 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Starship Wizard 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Assiduously (GB) 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Divine Connection 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Silvia V’s Heroes 12.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Major Pryce 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Atalanta Alexandra 10.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Girvin Girl 3.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Awesome Annmarie 20.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Adios Babe 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Principia 30.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Nic’s Style 4.50 6.3 12-1
4 4 Steel Racer 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Pulpit S.) – Pulpit S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Noted 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Double Your Money 6.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Palm Tree 3.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 General Ledger 20.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Reminder 12.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Ship to Shore 30.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Tocayo 20.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Liam’s Journey 4.50 6.6 12-1
1 1 Prevent 15.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Summer Storm Stric 50.00 9.1 17-1
11 11 Okiro 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.