Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hern | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | W W Crazy | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Greatheart | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dial in for Lute | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | What a Country | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chapel Barn | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mystery Mo | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Comply | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Secret Strategy | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hello Mr Copeland | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Devils Fork | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Holus Bolus | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sunday Spirit | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bet All the Gold | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Crime Zone | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Abby’s Encore | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ryno Wrecker | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | All Green Lights | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | God’s Country | 4.50 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Big Andy Mort | 6.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Get Away With It | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Reveille Valley | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Violent Gigi | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Choctaw | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Therideofalifetime | 0.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Aspen Club | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | That Khenny | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Citrus Bay | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Easy Big Boy | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Galactic Empire | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Warhorse West | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Roman Giant | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hallow Point | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Whooping Jay | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Creekmore | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sonnyisnotsofunny | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rivetage | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Famous Final Scene | 30.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Drobny | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Goldbrick | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ride for Sul | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Run Jalen Run | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Daily Grind | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Searcy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gotta Have Dreams | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Northern Chill | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Geno’s Myth | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Silver Tone | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Princess Is Olivia | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cruise Missile | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Happy N Smiling | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Silver Rose | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Peppers Girlfriend | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Not a Joke | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Red Volta | 30.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Copperdrop | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Texas Sequoia | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | What’s Her Number | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Thunderstrike | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Catty Cruise | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Social Affair | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bang Bang Fury | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Ring The Bell S.) – Ring The Bell S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sir Wellington | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ryvit | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Top Gunner | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Caddo River | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tejano Twist | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Osbourne | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ultimate | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Necker Island | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Manuelito | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan’s Honor | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Tee Burns | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 12 | 12 | Billy Jack | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Halmstad | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tee Burns | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | B Sudd | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Reef’s Destiny | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Underhill’s Tab | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Megan’s Honor | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Circle Back Jack | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Plausible Denile | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Manta Rey | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Happy Dancer | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dust Dancer | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Icing | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mikealicious | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Orange Diablo | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Penrod | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Plate | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twirling Troillet | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tornado Road | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Imperial Gun | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speedtail | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dutch Mills | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Commander Storm | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Justifiably So | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Pet Sounds | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Stick Shift | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Mistletoe S.) – Mistletoe S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Ice Orchid | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Misty Veil | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Charlee Mae | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lovely Ride | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Adaline Julia | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Bad Diva | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Butterbean | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coastal Charm | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Effortlesslyelgant | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charlize | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saddle Up Jessie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Wait Up | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lamutanaatty | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bolt Forty Five | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bohemian Bo | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ignitis | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Spend Benjamins | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | W W Scout’s Honor | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gunflash | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hey Eugene | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cyclone | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | St Andrews | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Affable Monarch | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Meadow Value | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.