Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 9, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hern 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 W W Crazy 3.50 3.3 6-1
8 8 Greatheart 3.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Dial in for Lute 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 What a Country 20.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Chapel Barn 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Mystery Mo 4.50 5.3 10-1
5 5 Comply 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Secret Strategy 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Hello Mr Copeland 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Devils Fork 10.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Holus Bolus 3.50 5 10-1
2 2 Sunday Spirit 5.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Bet All the Gold 20.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Crime Zone 30.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Abby’s Encore 12.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Ryno Wrecker 12.00 8.2 15-1
10 10 All Green Lights 15.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 God’s Country 4.50 9.8 18-1
12 12 Big Andy Mort 6.00 10.1 19-1
13 13 Get Away With It 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Reveille Valley 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Violent Gigi 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Mo Choctaw 15.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Therideofalifetime 0.80 2.2 4-1
11 11 Aspen Club 15.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 That Khenny 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Citrus Bay 20.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Easy Big Boy 30.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Galactic Empire 30.00 5 9-1
12 12 Warhorse West 30.00 5 9-1
6 6 Roman Giant 15.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Hallow Point 20.00 9 17-1
14 14 Whooping Jay 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Creekmore 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Sonnyisnotsofunny 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Rivetage 6.00 1 2-1
12 12 Famous Final Scene 30.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Drobny 20.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Goldbrick 3.00 2 4-1
6 6 Ride for Sul 5.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Run Jalen Run 1.80 2.7 5-1
11 11 Daily Grind 20.00 2.9 6-1
9 9 Searcy 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Gotta Have Dreams 30.00 4 8-1
2 2 Northern Chill 15.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Geno’s Myth 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Silver Tone 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Princess Is Olivia 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Cruise Missile 5.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Happy N Smiling 8.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Silver Rose 1.40 2 4-1
5 5 Peppers Girlfriend 12.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 She’s Not a Joke 15.00 2.4 5-1
13 13 Red Volta 30.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Copperdrop 15.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Texas Sequoia 30.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 What’s Her Number 15.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Thunderstrike 20.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 Catty Cruise 30.00 8.5 16-1
12 12 Social Affair 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Bang Bang Fury 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Ring The Bell S.) – Ring The Bell S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Sir Wellington 12.00 1 2-1
7 7 Ryvit 2.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Top Gunner 15.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Caddo River 20.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Tejano Twist 1.60 3.2 6-1
1 1 Osbourne 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Ultimate 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Necker Island 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Manuelito 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Megan’s Honor 0 0-1
Tee Burns 0 0-1
12 12 Billy Jack 20.00 1 2-1
5 5 Halmstad 2.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Tee Burns 10.00 2.9 6-1
11 11 B Sudd 15.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Reef’s Destiny 30.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Underhill’s Tab 4.50 3.9 7-1
9 9 Megan’s Honor 3.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Circle Back Jack 6.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Plausible Denile 12.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Manta Rey 20.00 5.1 10-1
13 13 Happy Dancer 20.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Dust Dancer 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Icing 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mikealicious 12.00 1 2-1
4 4 Orange Diablo 1.40 2.4 5-1
8 8 Penrod 10.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Golden Plate 20.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Twirling Troillet 12.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Tornado Road 20.00 3.9 7-1
11 11 Imperial Gun 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Speedtail 12.00 5.1 10-1
12 12 Dutch Mills 30.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Commander Storm 30.00 6.5 12-1
13 13 Justifiably So 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Pet Sounds 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Stick Shift 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Mistletoe S.) – Mistletoe S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Ice Orchid 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Misty Veil 4.50 1.3 2-1
8 8 Charlee Mae 20.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Lovely Ride 4.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Adaline Julia 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Big Bad Diva 20.00 3 6-1
11 11 Butterbean 20.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Coastal Charm 4.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Effortlesslyelgant 12.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Charlize 30.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Saddle Up Jessie 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Don’t Wait Up 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Lamutanaatty 6.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Bolt Forty Five 15.00 4 7-1
2 2 Bohemian Bo 20.00 4 8-1
10 10 Ignitis 30.00 4.1 8-1
12 12 Spend Benjamins 5.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 W W Scout’s Honor 3.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Gunflash 4.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Hey Eugene 30.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Cyclone 30.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 St Andrews 20.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Affable Monarch 12.00 8.1 15-1
13 13 Meadow Value 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.