Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 9, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Crumlin Beast 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Lady Eva 2.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Flowers ‘n Berries 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 P. S. Rising Star 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 I’m a Bourbon Girl 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Crash the Crease 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Foxy Lady 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Give Me the Boots 2.50 1.1 2-1
6 6 Hard to Capture 5.00 2 4-1
4 4 Green Gables 10.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Social Drinker 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Fresh Dreams 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Quiet Maddelena 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Holiday in Jail 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Melody’s Kiss 6.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Norma No 2.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Villi Olento 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Powaqa 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Daisycrest 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Infamous Covert 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Just Start Me Up 4.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Stormin Dave 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Gendragon 2.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Jmr Pure Sensation 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Kitten’s Boy 10.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Same Again Doc 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Wickenheiser 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Delphia 4.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Sense You Left 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 She Makes a Point 8.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Buttered Toast 15.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Fish Mooney 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lunch With Bernie 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Braquet 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Plaisir d’Amour 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Vine Grove 15.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Rush to Glory 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Shakshuka 10.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Spellcheck 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Coded Entry 15.00 5 10-1
5 5 Ecstasy 12.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 A. A. Minerva 20.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 Flashinthesky 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Star Candy 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Lantana Lady 3.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Luz de La Luna 2.00 2 4-1
5 5 Ya Mar 8.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Ol’ Blondie 10.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Sacred Dancer 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Botta Swing 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (La Prevoyante S.) – La Prevoyante S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fashionably Fab 1.00 1 2-1
5 5 Strega 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Tito’s Calling 2.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Talk to Ya Later 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 My Girl Sky 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 O Wow 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Brief 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Speedy Johny 3.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Moon Pool 4.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Makayla 12.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Bridge to Nowhere 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Take Chances 10.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Total Betty 15.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.