Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Baroness Bourbon | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Mighty Glory | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Wise Conversation | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Rudy Rudy Rudy | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Raleigh St. Clair | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Noble One | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Max S | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shigeko | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alterina | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shasi | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Joey the Fish | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Proper Grammar | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lemon Taffy | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Diamond Collector | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Simple Sugar | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High School Crush | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Luna Loca | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet as Sugar | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maddie’s Surprise | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Boy Is She a Lady | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Two Thirty Five | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Classic Mark | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gentleman Joe | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Market Alert | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sittin On Go | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alfio | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forty Two Ace | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Seba M | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lotsa Trouble | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Shore Time | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Ava’s Uncle Billy | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Fratellino | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Outtawaterbury | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Tempesta Cremisi | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Charles J | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | What’s Up Bro | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ski Patrol | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jester’s Song | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Playingwithmatches | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Worker | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | M B’s Munning | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rock the Weekend | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | He’s Got It | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Systemic Change | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Systemic Change | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Costa Terra | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quality Chic | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Am the Law | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Demon | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Portos | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Trouble | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fowler Blue | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | White Chocolate | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Security Code | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mytown Myrules | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mongolian Panther | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweetest Princess | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vienna Code | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awillaway | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | I’mhavingamoment | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mursal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nobilis | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dudley Dickerson | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Max Foster | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | English Storm | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sinaloa | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Waflr | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Outcome | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Escape Key | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Runandscore | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.