Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 10, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Macee 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Mo Smoking 5.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Mylies Star 15.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Katie’s C 2.50 6.3 12-1
5 5 Star’s Dream 3.50 6.8 13-1
1 1 Kaitlyn’s Court 20.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 I Dont Know Either 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cced for Steph 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Serenadingthemoon 4.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Customized Twin 5.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Scarlet Storm 6.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Calling 5.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 War Tourist 5.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Cece Wave 8.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Sweet Little Rose 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Quinn Ella 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Quinn Murphy 3.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Skykat 2.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 It’sfiftyshadetime 4.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Cave Creek 10.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Broadway Pearl 6.00 5 9-1
2 2 Fat and Furious 12.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Faded Memories 20.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Angel of Verdun 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Stack Shack 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Seriously Sam 4.50 2.3 4-1
11 11 Pi Yo Princess 8.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 J Z’s First 3.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Lady Lana 10.00 5 9-1
2 2 Pelletier 4.50 5.5 10-1
4 4 No Nannette No 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Caviar Resolution 12.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Morning Line News 30.00 8 15-1
9 9 Sweet Perfection 5.00 9.1 17-1
6 6 Lake Runner 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Larry’s Lunchbox 3.50 1 2-1
12 12 My Tennis Shoes 20.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Rockall 8.00 1.7 3-1
10 10 Whiskey and Easy 4.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Feeling Free 6.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Savage Kiss 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Foe 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Never Sorry 50.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Johnnny’s Game 4.50 6 11-1
1 1 Meet George Jetson 50.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Sweet Present 30.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Dats True Love 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Lead Me 6.00 1 2-1
12 12 Starsnmotion 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Czar’s Ballerina 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Drewsilla 12.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Classical Magnolia 20.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Smart Izzy 20.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Daddy Hey Daddy 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Sweet Sassicaia 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Grace Hazel 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Fouralivia 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Certified Gem 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Sikara Sikara 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tiwanaku 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 El Oriente (CHI) 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Nelson Avenue 3.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Protonic Power 4.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Roman Centurian 8.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Unified Dreams 12.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Monaasib 10.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Mr. Big News 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Empire of My Own 6.00 1 2-1
11 11 Little Mombo 6.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Just Push Send 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Catskill Humor 5.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Empires Princess 12.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Lure’em In 5.00 5 9-1
7 7 Miss River Rat 12.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Firing Bullets 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Numero Seis 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Sister Seek 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Ocean Spirit (GB) 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 A Miss Deameanor 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Freeburn 1.80 2.6 5-1
8 8 Platinum Minit 6.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Moion 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 No Fear 12.00 7 13-1
11 11 Giant Tude 15.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Chapellete 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Delightful Halo 15.00 8.2 16-1
9 9 Army Day 15.00 9.3 18-1
2 2 Francesnfriends 20.00 9.3 18-1
3 3 Aurora Australis 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Good N Sassy 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.