Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 10, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mumbles Brockman 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Signora Vittoria 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Where Is Zizi 2.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Lovme Likeafool 20.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Clubhouse Bride 2.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Candy Kendall 4.00 4 8-1
1 1 Awareness Autism 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Principe Carlo 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Manitowish 4.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 It’s My House 2.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Escape Route 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Phosphorescence (FR) 8.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Mastermind 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bajan Bashert 1.00 1 2-1
1 1 Satoshi 1.40 1.9 4-1
4 4 Plum Creek 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 C’Mon Lets Switch 10.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Blue Cloud 15.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Kimberly’s Devil 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 High Flying Gracie 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Coconut Girl 3.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Vhagar 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Dial a Friend 4.50 4 8-1
6 6 Pop Chart 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Jazzy Empress 2.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Almost Got Lucky 10.00 8 15-1
7 7 Love Honor and Pay 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tapatio Leo 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Sawasdee 6.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Will Be 2.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Crowning Gold 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Vorpal 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Elector 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Thirsty John 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Grazen Touch 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 The Music We Make 5.00 2 4-1
7 7 Lucky Vegas 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 She’s Muy Muy 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Intense Moment 20.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Cy’s Silkstocking 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Hammett 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Project Leader 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Dr Low Key 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 City of Champions 3.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Stafford to Kupp 3.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Pop Pop’s Ride 12.00 4 7-1
6 6 Fast Per Se 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Irish Wahine 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Never Sway 4.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Tropicana Girl 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Jacrodra’s Devil 15.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Flatterwithjewels 3.00 4 8-1
4 4 Roman Empress 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Soviet Problem S.) – Soviet Problem S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Petit Filet 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Loretta Lynn 1.60 1.9 3-1
1 1 Madison Rae 6.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Asada Fries 2.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Putt for Dough 10.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Fly a Fantasy 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.