Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, December 12, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Onthisharvestmoon 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Aunt Berra 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Forest Maiden 6.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Brooklyn Heights 5.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Paradigm Shift 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Ell Gray 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 She’s a Lino 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Big Brook 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Majestic Lion 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Last Dream 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Road Call 6.00 4 8-1
8 8 Bubby Papermaker 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 T’was the Night 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Gold Bling 15.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Keep It Salty 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Carbonite 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Finally Captured 3.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Roan Burgundy 3.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Depoli 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Lookin’ Super 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Professor Kool 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Burano 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Luna T 3.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Catalena 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Luli’s Dancer 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Sirenetta 5.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Cinnamon Dream 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Popthechampagne Ro 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
16 16 Baby Sox 4.00 1 2-1
11 11 Mendelian 3.50 2.5 5-1
15 15 Valiant Majesty 6.00 4 7-1
6 6 Black Diamond Rain 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Lucky Flush 5.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Wicked Lady 6.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Aztec Bay 10.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Eighty Eight Keys 12.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Bruno Barber Girl 12.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Divine Twist 12.00 9.3 18-1
14 14 Colette’s Spirit 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 La La Lucy 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lucky Breeze 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Moonlite in Heaven 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 The Furmanator 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Lil’ Late Luck 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Face the Facts 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bad Bad Mr. Brown 3.50 2 4-1
2 2 Luv Ya Blue 4.50 4 8-1
3 3 Luka D 5.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Kuz It’s Chilly 6.00 5 9-1
7 7 Eddie W 12.00 6 11-1
4 4 Standpoint 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Twist Her 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Celtic Tiger 5.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 So Fully Sue 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Gryphon’s Wings 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 My Maggie Moo 2.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Valdikava 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Civil Notion 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Breezy Dance 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Lucky Opportunity 6.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Far too Foxy 12.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Mikey’s Song 3.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Namora 5.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Steal the Deal 2.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Everheart 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Kindred Hearts 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Empire Pass 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Golden Tabby 1.60 1.6 3-1
3 3 R Funny Bizness 2.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Bucks Some 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Broad Jumper 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Irie Empress 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Spanikopita 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 He’s Incredible 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Lord Mio 15.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Samurai Saint 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Anything Pazible 4.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Indirectly 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Relishment 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 We Ready 10.00 5.2 10-1
12 12 Haney Boys 10.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Colonel Juan 5.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Hibachi 10.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 The Angry Man 10.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Taco Bean 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.