Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, December 13, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Debbies Passage 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Stormy Valentine 10.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Xtrafrieswithat 5.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Madison’s Screen 5.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Suzy Doll’s Ready 8.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Dr Stricklands Ace 6.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Where’s Aunt J 20.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Commercial Flash 3.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Dat Guitar 15.00 9.2 17-1
8 8 Everlyn’s Angel 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Manly Deeds 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 The Boss Soss 2.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Native Star 5.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Reddingandlee 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Josan 10.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Jays Holiday 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Craftroom 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bailey’s Charm 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Sparkle City 10.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Starship Nola 4.50 5.7 11-1
1 1 Beat the Double 5.00 6 11-1
9 9 Mallory Unbridled 6.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Reina’s Vision 15.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Pennie’s Magic 20.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Grace’s Vision 10.00 10 19-1
6 6 Starry Starry Day 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Good by Faith 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Mariah 3.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Miss Leona 1.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Don’t Be Bossy 5.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Sassi Strutter 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Mary Who 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Blazing Charm 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Akasi 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Simple Pleasure 2.50 3.6 7-1
9 9 Cyber Sneaker 20.00 4 8-1
3 3 Roses Are Gray 5.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Batty 15.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Be a Bandit 10.00 7 13-1
1 1 Miss Billie K 20.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Mschitchattour 4.50 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Flashy Lover 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Arkansas Zong 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Inglis 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Yo Play 20.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Bobby Merlot 3.50 4.8 9-1
8 8 Red On the Head 4.50 5.9 11-1
3 3 Moro Beard 6.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Pay Respect 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Topper T 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Tape to Tape 1.80 1.3 2-1
7 7 My Pal Mattie 6.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Midnight Fire 12.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Pickens 5.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Black Sword 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 In the Arch 10.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Scrappy Artie 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Buffett 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Admiral Risty 5.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Doce de la Noche 20.00 4 8-1
3 3 Windtapper Win 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Winning Dance 20.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Party Gras 10.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Just Because 6.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Cozy Gem 12.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Rocky Boy 12.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Quick Zong 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 South Coast Route 2.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.