Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 14, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Remember the Name 1.00 1 2-1
3 3 Game Misconduct 10.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Don Vino Vici 3.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Thunderslam 12.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Pappou’s Laugh 4.50 5.3 10-1
6 6 Laser Sharp 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Saint Eros Girl 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Customerexperience 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Beautiful Karen 3.50 4 7-1
5 5 Midtown Rose 3.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Behind the Couch 4.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Left Leaning Lucy 12.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Towering Gaze 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Valentine Gift 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Concerti 4.00 2 4-1
6 6 Bernietakescharge 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Unicorn Cake 3.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 P Mutter Pickle 1.20 4.3 8-1
4 4 Alley’s Song 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Roman Goddess 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 She’s Awesome 1.60 1.3 2-1
5 5 Shaman Princess 4.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Queens Over Threes 10.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Icy Reply 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 My Girl Jal 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 Red Pepper Grill 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Everyoneloveslinda 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Shesalittle Edgy 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Remain Anonymous 3.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Solib 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 To a T 4.00 5 9-1
7 7 Timed Out 6.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 I’m Buzzy 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Downtown Mischief 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Essaouira 10.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Give Me Kisses 2.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Gunfyre Gal 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Starship Defiant 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Ain’t Broke 1.80 5.2 10-1
2 2 Mursal 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bernt Again 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Smokie Eyes 3.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Shesascoldasice 15.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Saratoga Kisses 4.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Maggie T 3.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Just a Nyquist 5.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Berning Honor 10.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Racing Colors 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Clever Forever 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Twirling Vine 12.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Beary Funny 3.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Refuah 5.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Scherzando 8.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Domination 4.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Dolly’s Bank 20.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Mugsy Fury 30.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.