Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Birthday Party | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | J C’s in Town | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Revenir | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cool Individual | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Taken Back | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mr B Quiet | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dealin’ Stelen | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Move It | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Verdict | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Drive for Fun | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Overtaxed | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Special Operator | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Street Art | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Monitor Mills | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charming Charlie | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Rachel | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Croque Monsieur (GB) | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Thimble | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tapalist | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Letstakeitoutside | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Racy Bille | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whiskey Red | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Poppy T | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Now Now Saint | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alphin | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hawaiian Argument | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Styling Hook | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Corte | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Came Out Kickin | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | R T’s Iron Man | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Indefensible Town | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Valid Early | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | True Princess | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Katies Spirit | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nana’s Corn Muffin | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | American Tsunami | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Too Much Kiki | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Convalidation | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Warm Fuzzies | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stephen’s Answer | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alyanaabi | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Rojo | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver N Lai | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wedington | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nate’s Revenge | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Freedomfi | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honorarian | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Applewood | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bleep Bleep | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Viking Legacy | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pitch and Run | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King of Contraband | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cocal | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gobot | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Z’s Guitar | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zippy Toga | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Meckes Priority | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cpriority | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seehoss | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boy Charlie | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heartthrob Halo | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jeffrow | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sadie’s Light | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bet Again | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flashy Premo | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Adayinspain | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flying I | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chuchi | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whorl Girl | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dreamed I Am Fast | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scrappy | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | St. Francis of La. | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hey You | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gemmy | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tensas Clear | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sense of Heart | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.