Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 14, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Flashover 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Bolkin 5.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Anadolu 4.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Sir Banana Brian 3.00 1.3 3-1
1 1 Papa Do Papa Do 3.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 First Shot Fired 20.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Canavero 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Go Big Green 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 Thelastbulletsmine 6.00 2 4-1
8 8 Big Band Luzziann 15.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Chick’s Shadow 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 In a Spin 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Starship Nana 12.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Kizzy 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Ipanema Princess (IRE) 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Alybaer 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Novellie 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Dove in Charge 5.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Vacation Suite 4.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 India Pilaga (ARG) 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 How Bout Dat 2.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Ginrin 30.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 La Dame de Fer 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Chloe’s Toy 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Love Rhapsody 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Mount Sinai 1.40 2 4-1
2 2 Robyn and Eli 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Grace Candy 20.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Ave Fenix 30.00 5 9-1
6 6 Talking Wonders 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Naa Dudette 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Street Charity 3.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Fancy Stax 4.50 1.1 2-1
5 5 Burnaway 6.00 1.4 3-1
11 11 Arisaema 5.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Palace Flirt 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Digital Trade 8.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Starlit Sofi 30.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 British Empress 30.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Lookingfortreasure 30.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Etna’s Napper 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Impulsiveness 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Storm Brave 0.60 2.3 4-1
5 5 Astral Weeks 20.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Federal Exchange 30.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Nature Boy 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Eyes of Champion 30.00 5 9-1
2 2 Hello Jack 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Exult 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Demogorgon 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Don’t Get Pickled 2.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Sandpiper Memories 4.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Golden Voice 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Rose E Holiday 4.50 4.9 9-1
2 2 Khosea 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Bletchley Girl 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 American Diamond 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Ruse 6.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Baie Longue 5.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Ok Boomer 4.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Jeopardy Theory 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Brooklyn Strong 15.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Calycanthus 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Clear Conscience 12.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Tiz the Coast 30.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Xy Time 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Rigel 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Kern River 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 One Fast Dream 3.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Mr. American 5.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Be Lucky 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Romping Runner 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Vinicio 30.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Catalina Express 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Fortheloveofart 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.