Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 15, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Robust 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Bud Won 2.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Marketbook 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 El Jefe Cobb 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Friend’s Do Care 4.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Sunset War 6.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Moro Flashback 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Eli’s Girl 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Boston Paulette 10.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Rosie’s Angus 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Magna Colors 6.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Wa Wa Wee Wa 4.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Vallejo 10.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Miss Darlene 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Real Deal Ryan 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 My Lucky Break 5.00 2 4-1
7 7 Albanian Princess 12.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Midnight Cigarette 10.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Shezaperfectdream 6.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Maximum Moxie 8.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 C C Senora 10.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Cankton’s Cowgirl 10.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Sheza Hot Storm 3.00 8.2 16-1
3 3 Bayou Bertie 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Aprettylulaby 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Miss Charlie Gras 4.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Puglia 2.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Sara’s Sapphire 15.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Barranca 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Beyond d’Oro 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Lovin Livin 20.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Sassy Emma 8.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Sense of Flurry 3.50 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lord Brancusi 1.40 1 2-1
8 8 Classic Red Racer 12.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Mor Big Lee 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Texas Turbine 5.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 C C’s Legacy 8.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Rush the Colors 12.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Gildersleeve 10.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Golduster 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Livvy Lou 20.00 1 2-1
1 1 Gotteminabind 2.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Zipping Molly 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Julio Choice 10.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Beulah K 3.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Grace’s Soldier 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Daring Darian 15.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Chickietown Star 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Sweet Stormy Elle 12.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Tenpins Tempest 4.50 8 15-1
12 12 Bridled Up 15.00 10.2 19-1
11 11 Absolutely Mindy 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Shut Up Man 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Violent City 2.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 His Giant 8.00 4 8-1
9 9 Mongolian Bee 3.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Secret Vista 6.00 5 9-1
2 2 Mister K 15.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Duke of Blue Ridge 6.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Launched 15.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 Paynt Battle 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Flashy Meg 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Miss Jana 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Kyle Beauty 5.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Charlie T 2.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Lovelyredstilettos 15.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Won Day 8.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Brave City Girl 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Blessed Assurance 8.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Lady Hopper 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 R T’s Iron Man 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Clearly a Jet 15.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Chiefs Blanket 2.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Wildcats’s Meow 12.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Cole’s Sensation 8.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 Holiday Run 5.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Red October 12.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Smooth Custom 20.00 8.7 16-1
4 4 Uncle Chan 20.00 9.3 18-1
6 6 Dixie’s Astro 6.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.