Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Class Clown | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Bulletproof | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Diamonds Danzing | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ko Olina | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wishtheyallcouldbe | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shanghai Sunrise | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Paleo’s Princess | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Broken Circle | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Play Chicken | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Too Much Info | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Derecho Dandy | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Relaxed Artist (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Tok | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Noble Union | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Creative Way | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Geezer | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Meesh | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grazed | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cribbage Board | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spiritual Advisor | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Disko Tribute | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stay in the Game | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | On the Whim | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lonesome Stew | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Habeas | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mega Moon | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Cheese Olive | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cool Papa G | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amigo G A | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | King Zog | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Western Sierra | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prince Graygray | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speed of the Nile | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unusual Win | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hungry Hearts | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ransom Call | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Smarty Nose | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Toledo Rocket | 3.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Departure | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alpine Thunder | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Taishan | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Rewards | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zimba Warrior | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speed Grazy | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bravestone | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | She’s Resilient | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Barbera | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 3 | Mango Moon | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 98 | Keep Your Coil | 0.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 98 | Trouble N Paradise | 0.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 5 | Dancing Soul | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swift Nonni | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 6 | Your Ringer | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Bayakoa S.) – Bayakoa S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Memories | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Violent Runner | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Desert Dawn | 1.20 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Turnerloose | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ganadora | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smoothlikebuttah | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trouville | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.