Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Professional Grade | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Play the Trumpet | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lead Foot | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Is My Name | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dantheconcreteman | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Superhero | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mirage | 2.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blowout Mountain | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | River Boy | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Man On the Moon | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Toma Todo | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ready to Roll | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vim and Vigor | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Georgia Deputy | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Calipari | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mulberry Street | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yak | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fetchs Brahm | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Khozy My Boy | 20.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chisholm Trail | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lake Radio | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Spirit | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Home Run Trick | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Macron | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Breslau | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Full Authority | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shadow Matter | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Warp Nine | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moneyshot | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crusading | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Matador | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Redfield | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Charleston | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Revelation | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Tone | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Petula | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | K J’s Pistol Annie | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Shutup Please | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Betty Jo | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pat’s Gal | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Be My Huckleberry | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie Girl To | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Coromandel | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smarty’s Angel | 3.50 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elmo’s Secret | 15.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thursday Morning | 15.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blondes Havemo Fun | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | American Band | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cartel Queen | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucy’s Cakes Fly | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cost a Fortune | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Diva Treva | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rock Star Parking | 2.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Simona’s Choice | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Right Trappe | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fightertown | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dance Some Mo | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rocking Rocket | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Luna Vieja | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Boss | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kant Beat the Rock | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Canavall | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Life On the Nile | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kobla Mas | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Atomic Tone | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shackleford Strong | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cost Basis | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Burninhunkoflove | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Colonel Vargo | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Born Flawless | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eternally Grateful | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Luna | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spotted Bull | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Frosted Departure | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tonka Warrior | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whelen Springs | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hozier | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Commandperformance | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Full Screen | 3.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Prospector | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Decision Maker | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pats Property | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Buck Moon | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Double Crown | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Lord Grantham | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Captain Jack | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 13 | Last Outlaw | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Master of Arms | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Unbowed | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Howl Yeah | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Boogie Bode | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Color Me Legendary | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Directional | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Little Frappucino | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Unstable Prince | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Immoral | 12.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Passion of Joe’s | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.