Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 15, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fighting Irish 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Cadfael 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Absolute Chairman 6.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Miah Said 10.00 2 4-1
7 7 Trebuchet 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Just for Maddie 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Magic Tomahawk 10.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Whaddya Mean 12.00 8.7 16-1
8 8 Celentano 4.00 9.9 19-1
10 10 Today 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cerebro 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Forester’s Turn 2.50 3.7 7-1
8 8 Commander Joe 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Big Investment 3.00 5 9-1
9 9 Grand Alliance 20.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Executive Sight 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Ghoul (BRZ) 6.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Wenjack 20.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Highland Society 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bar Talk 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Computer Hacker 12.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Destiny Ro 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Red Ensign 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Red Sneakers 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Cantucci 20.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Royal Hudson 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Valyrian Sky 2.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bill Needle 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Yorkville 6.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Twixter 3.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Social Justice 10.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Dawson Silver 20.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 The Swayze Express 20.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Hip to Your Tricks 3.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Snookered 20.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Air Force Reserve 4.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Butwaitthere’smore 20.00 8 15-1
5 5 Chicago Freddy 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Visitor’s Welcome 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Ry Pie 10.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 Qurbaan’s Kingdom 20.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Perfect Forest 8.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Glorious Revenge 20.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Persevere 20.00 2.9 5-1
12 12 Ashuka 4.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Galactic Glory 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Notachancebro 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Squeezethesharman 6.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Callyoubackinfive 2.50 8.3 16-1
8 8 Wetiko 12.00 8.7 16-1
14 14 Teapartytoday 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Needs Fulfilled 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Screen Legend 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Vanbrugh 6.00 1 2-1
13 13 Cupid’s Claws 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Palio 15.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Sir Sahib 20.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 C C’s Kingdom 4.00 3.1 6-1
12 12 Derzkii 8.00 3.2 6-1
11 11 Hell Bent 12.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Embrace My Uncle 20.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Sunrise Drive 20.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Newport Agent 12.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Just Start Me Up 20.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 October Frost 20.00 10.7 20-1
14 14 Coleyville 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Stop the Humbug 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Three Sonny Sideup 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Seventyseven Stone 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Society Joe 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Tourist’s Dream 20.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Baytown Elvis 20.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Kodiak Mamba (IRE) 20.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Coach Abernathy 12.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Muskoka Giant 3.00 8.7 16-1
8 8 Thunderheavyrain 20.00 9.5 18-1
12 12 Mister Meseeks 5.00 9.9 19-1
10 10 Silent Lucidity 8.00 10.9 21-1
9 9 Kitten’s Boy 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Wickedblackbullet 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Dixie’s Flatter 15.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Discovery Chart 20.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Get Ready Set Fire 10.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Tonka Wakan 20.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Sing Dixie 20.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Brother Belen 6.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Holiday in Chile 20.00 8.9 17-1
12 12 Pola Star 12.00 9.2 17-1
10 10 Smokin Holiday 5.00 9.4 18-1
7 7 Manetka 3.00 10 19-1
3 3 Ngabe 12.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.