Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Riobella | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zero Point Zero | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Finishwhatustarted | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sadie’s Ransom | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cheer Up | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Marina | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moody Rafaela | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cherokee Summer | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Carpe Horseshoe | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Girl Pro | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mean American | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rain | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whats Up Sweets | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Glance | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cool Ride | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joseph H | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | So Many Stories | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gatsby’s Fortune | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rocking Tobe | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Magnolia Speed | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | C F Henry | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tussling Charlie | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Custom Star | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Half Guilty | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lexington River | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Oak Hill Lg | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Muffin Nuts | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Four Sevens | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Will Stand | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War Ron | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Autopilot | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Far Beyond | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | State of the Union | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Indimaaj | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Harriet’s Dream | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lots of Gold | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | D’wild Muffin | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jazz Brunch | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lightning Hart | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bind On Earth | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Donnas Final Word | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Starbuck Luck | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saber Queen | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Deal With Him | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gone Solution | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sparkin | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peanut N Ike | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stray Cat Strut | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hail the Cat | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carlos’s Mama | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Thirsty Pappy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Briartown | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Time | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Napoleonic Code | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bayou Chrome | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quiet as Midnight | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ghost Cowboy | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Presumptive Closer | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lost Gold | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Vodka Martini | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | French Composer | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Graves Mill Road | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hard Attack | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Minnesota Miracle | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Limonite | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wise Verdict | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Motawaafeq | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Our Hallie | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Twisted Brade | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Abbey Cakes | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Talkabout | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Time to Close | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lo Profile | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ad Libitum | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s the Sheriff | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Slim Causeway | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.