Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 16, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hill Sixteen 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Pray for Me Ray 6.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Tokamak 2.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Ivory Sky 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Bring Him Home 2.50 6.7 13-1
8 8 I Got a Guy 15.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Sure Prospect 10.00 8 15-1
4 4 Number One Son 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Just Is 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Rosie Ann Rules 1.20 2 4-1
4 4 Ryder’s Candy 4.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Plum Creek 12.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Bougie Like 4.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Blue Cloud 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Easter Coming Back 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Screaming Virginia 1.60 1.2 2-1
4 4 Lady Cruiser 3.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Princess Snow 3.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Belle Epoque 3.00 5 9-1
6 6 Misty Rain 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Red Cross Knight 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Established 1.60 1.1 2-1
1 1 Oil Can Knight 4.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Perfect D 5.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 El Diablo Rojo 10.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Sir Laughalot 20.00 6 11-1
4 4 Growth Engine 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Stafford to Kupp 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Catbernay 6.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Thunderheart 3.50 2 4-1
8 8 High Press 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Conch Daddy 8.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Commander Khai 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Tribal Impact 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Echo Alpha Six 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Last Call Paul 2.00 1 2-1
11 11 Coach Randy B 10.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Uncle Juju 2.50 2.3 4-1
8 8 Grazen Boy 20.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Smiling Jojo 3.50 4 8-1
5 5 Winning Big 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Bear Coast 15.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Twilight Moon 6.00 8.8 17-1
2 2 Eddie’s Wave 6.00 9.8 19-1
6 6 Tiger by the Tail 12.00 11 21-1
7 7 Picahouse 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Battle Cruiser 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Scatify 4.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 March of Time 2.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Honest Coop 10.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Sharp Lorenzo 10.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Beneficial 2.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Wok Don’t Run 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Miss Pixy Stix 4.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Unified A. P. 3.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Bossy Bruin Gal 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Bella Vienna 2.00 4 8-1
6 6 Kataleya 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Los Alamitos Futurity) – Los Alamitos Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Stronghold 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Wine Me Up 2.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Coach Prime 2.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Ace of Clubs 15.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Wynstock 5.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Moonlit Sonata 5.00 6 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.