Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 16, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Kitten’s Romance 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Silent Guroo 15.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Simple Souvenir 4.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Valley Girl 12.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Fedalia 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Wicked Miah 6.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Cefalo 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Midway Mischief 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Trinity Park 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Candy Street 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Groom Lake 6.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Robitaille 4.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Perfect Play 12.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 River of Babylon 20.00 8 15-1
1 1 Good Soldier 10.00 8.2 16-1
3 3 Preetzah’s Star 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Citrina 20.00 1 2-1
3 3 Rosieposie 6.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Home for a Rest 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Heleconia 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Ami’s Girl 4.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Poetic Amy 15.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Hyperya 10.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Birch Bark 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 Clarayouthebest 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Speedy Bubbles 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Silver Bullet Lady 3.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Flowers ‘n Berries 1.60 2.5 5-1
3 3 Gav’s Dream Girl 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Krypto Gains 15.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Hot Omelet 10.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Smiles for David 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Bridge to Nowhere 20.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Gold Forester 20.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Stolen 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 War in Charge 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 So Called Vacation 3.50 1.1 2-1
9 9 Rock Bullet 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Patrolman 2.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Liam’s Awesome 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 All for Honor 20.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Hey Luigi 20.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Jack 20.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Model S 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Saucy Name 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Fedorova 4.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Maximum Fifty 6.00 5.2 10-1
13 13 Braquet 8.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Kid Gizmo 8.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Silent Princess 12.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Momunnyfor Ro 8.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Arctic Blonde 15.00 8.2 15-1
11 11 Our Stella 20.00 8.5 16-1
8 8 Go Giffen 20.00 8.9 17-1
12 12 Scat Humor 15.00 9.1 17-1
2 2 Frac Amour 12.00 9.7 18-1
7 7 Peggy 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Destin Night 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Silent Sky 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Bedazzle Me 5.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Seattle Causeway 6.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Sarah’s Dancer 20.00 3 6-1
5 5 Great Kate 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Where’s Samnbailey 12.00 4 8-1
1 1 Souper Cop 15.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Moral Turpitude 20.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 April de Velp 15.00 6 11-1
8 8 Tavaline 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Competitive Touch 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Jayhawk 1.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Prima 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Pontiac 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Princess Mayfair 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Smart Almasty 20.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Break the Spell 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Veri Gizmo 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Princessofthenorth 1.40 2.1 4-1
3 3 Livin On Luv 4.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Hot Cargo 10.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Anam Cara 20.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Know How (GB) 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Royal Blush 6.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Holiday With Amy 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Jill 8.00 1 2-1
12 12 Souper Flashy 6.00 2.4 4-1
14 14 Ima Beast 10.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Verdejo 4.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Frankie’s Girl 3.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Cara Cara 20.00 2.9 6-1
9 9 Happy Valentine 10.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Hai Bobbi 20.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Gloriannia 12.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Mi Corazon 15.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Collect Dattt 20.00 7 13-1
8 8 Souper Pecan 20.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Cinnamon Bits 20.00 7.8 15-1
13 13 Hard to Capture 20.00 8.2 16-1
15 15 My Sunny Valentine 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.