Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dorothy’s Dreams | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Serengeti | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reconcile | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sabrina | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sarir | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gate Song | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tiarella | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Disco Ebo | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rachel’s Rock | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quick Munny | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Love | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mosienko | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Youbetterbejoking | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Built to Last | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Face Abarrio | 0.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Flash Kiss | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Gun Maestro | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Happy Bob | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scotto | 50.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Flashy Alex | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Kentucky Joker | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Curlins Choir | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Warsaichi | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fancy Azteca | 1.20 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Divine Cross | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Will Be Famous | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harlan’s Bond | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Five to Two | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Call Her Bluff | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Collect the Data | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brooklyn Dantz | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Landed | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Starsinthecity | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Calling an Audible | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Troubled Luck | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thirteen Red Flags | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | High Heat | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Striking Speed | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | He’sgottashortfuse | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gandy Dancing | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mach One | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Forward Motion | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Chateau | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Clem Labine | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mr Phil | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Candy Tycoon | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Ava K’s Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Prophetic | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brown Don’t Stop | 10.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Inonit | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vin Santo | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Malibu Margarita | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Manny Penny | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie Pharaoh | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dillon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Maker’s Candy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Drake’s Passage | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sundaeswithsandy | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rocco Strong | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Luni Sima | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Daddy Knows | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hold the Salsa | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ghostlyprince | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dark Vector | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Laurel Valley | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Be of Courage | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Horse Be With You | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shared Success | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Street Cop Officer | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Huntsman | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Marty | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Supreme Being | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Engineer Empire | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ach Du Lieber | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shpilkes | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.