Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 17, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Night Striker 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 He Shoots He Wins 1.60 2.2 4-1
1 1 Needs Fulfilled 20.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Hurricane Deshambo 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Screen Legend 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Teapartytoday 8.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Chief Lionhart 12.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Tipsy Fox 4.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Blue Max 12.00 1 2-1
8 8 Kid Forester 2.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Race for Pinks 4.00 1.3 3-1
2 2 Lenny K 6.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Dragon’s Brew 3.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Mr Narcissistic 10.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Bet N Win 20.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Tricky Magician 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Echo With Laughter 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Very Debonaire 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Hardware Gap 3.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Spanish Serenade 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Jmr Speedy Escape 6.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Confusing 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Reload Bullet 20.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Mr. Marshall 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Legal Catch 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Sassiness 2.50 2 4-1
6 6 Painted Glory 6.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Junipero Serra 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Mrs. C 8.00 5 10-1
8 8 Mardene 10.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Political Warfare 15.00 8 15-1
3 3 Storms of Life 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 People Are People 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Lakefield 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Fast and Ready 5.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Frac Right 12.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Monday Morning 20.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Forest Flash 20.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Fairway to Heaven 6.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Indy One 8.00 9.3 18-1
2 2 Hanlan 10.00 9.5 18-1
1 1 Roar of the Crowd 12.00 10.4 20-1
11 11 Blue Montjeu 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Jokestar 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 American Decision 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 Ecstasy 4.00 3 6-1
4 4 Destin Night 8.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Catch the Drift 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Awesome Entry 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Mucho Magnifico 10.00 5 9-1
2 2 Beyond Adversity 30.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Dubawi Bull 20.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 Blondina’s Boy 30.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Profesorridesagain 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Reload’s Rascal 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Quite Ready 4.50 4.9 9-1
3 3 Bachelor Pad 6.00 5.6 11-1
11 11 Hilarious Affair 3.50 6.5 12-1
10 10 Feelthebeat 10.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Downy Boy 8.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Maakwa 15.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Long Pond 12.00 7.7 14-1
4 4 Salvator Mundi 20.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Chairman Bob 20.00 9.6 18-1
9 9 Graceful Fighter 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 One Bay Hemingway 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Hall of Dreams 2.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Moon Landing 3.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Silent Miracle 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 One More Brew 20.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Jamiesta 20.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Posturing 6.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Hungry Wolf 15.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Coherence 10.00 9.9 19-1
4 4 Zakhari 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lac Macaza 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 J P Hellish 1.80 1.1 2-1
3 3 Clear Destination 2.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Simcoe 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Steak and Cheese 5.00 5 10-1
4 4 Reload’s Rebel 20.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Rosebud’s Hope 10.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Mighty Sea 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Kinetic Stone 15.00 1 2-1
8 8 Jimmies Big Day 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Quiet Intent 8.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Fabled Prince 10.00 3.1 6-1
12 12 Nonno’s Little Boy 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Rookie Radar 12.00 3.4 6-1
13 13 Classic Dancer 6.00 3.4 6-1
11 11 Amber Light 3.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Umneyaat 30.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Guard of Honour 30.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Dream On Baby 20.00 9 17-1
6 6 Greystone 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Guns n’ Rojas 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.